Liga MX · Apertura - 10

Santos LagunavCF Pachuca

·

1 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives CF Pachuca a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

CF PachucaModel pendingMarket 46%
CF Pachuca:, no forecast published, market 46%

2Market

Open: 31% home · 26% draw · 43% away

Now: 28% home · 26% draw · 46% away

Moved −3pp — the market moved away from Santos Laguna

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs28%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs58%
Under 2.5—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs81%
Under 1.5—vs19%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs36%
Under 3.5—vs64%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs61%
No—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Santos Laguna

Confirmed · 3-4-3

No reported absences.

CF Pachuca

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Santos LagunaWWLDL

  • Mon 21 Sep · A v Toluca 3–2
  • Mon 14 Sep · H v FC Juarez 2–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 0–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Tigres UANL 0–0(xG 0.9–1.3)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Puebla 2–3

CF PachucaDWWDD

  • Mon 21 Sep · H v Club Tijuana 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Atlante FC 3–0
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v FC Juarez 2–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Guadalajara Chivas 1–1(xG 1.5–1.4)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Atletico San Luis 1–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Santos Laguna have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Santos Laguna's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Santos Laguna's last 5.
  • Santos Laguna kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
CF Pachuca
  • CF Pachuca have won 2 of their last 5.
  • CF Pachuca have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of CF Pachuca's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of CF Pachuca's last 5.
  • CF Pachuca kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Santos Laguna

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

CF Pachuca

Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Corona, Torreon · Referee: Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
Santos Laguna line up in a 3-4-3, CF Pachuca in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.