Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Seattle SoundersvMinnesota United FC

·

3 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Seattle Sounders a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Seattle SoundersModel pendingMarket 46%
Seattle Sounders:, no forecast published, market 46%

2Market

Open: 46% home · 25% draw · 29% away

Now: 46% home · 25% draw · 29% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs46%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs62%
Under 2.5—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs84%
Under 1.5—vs16%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs40%
Under 3.5—vs60%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs64%
No—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Seattle Sounders

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • P. Rothrock — out (Tendon Injury)
  • P. de La Vega — out (Calf Injury)
  • J. Ragen — out (Knee Injury)
  • C. Roldan — out (Muscle Injury)
  • P. Arriola — out (Calf Injury)
  • Y. Gomez Andrade — out (Muscle Injury)
  • H. Dotson — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Morris — out (Muscle Injury)
  • A. Roldan — out (Hip Injury)
  • Kim Kee-Hee — out (Muscle Injury)
  • S. Hawkins — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. Joveljic — out (International duty)

Minnesota United FC

Confirmed · 4-4-2

  • N. Triantis — out (International duty)
  • J. Pereyra — out (Muscle Injury)
  • C. Harvey — out (International duty)
  • M. Boxall — out (Yellow Cards)
  • B. Hlongwane — out (Knee Injury)
  • P. Stroud — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Rodriguez — out (International duty)
  • A. Smir — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Seattle SoundersWDDDD

  • Thu 24 Sep · H v Real Salt Lake 2–0(xG 0.9–0.4)
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Colorado Rapids 3–3(xG 0.9–1.6)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v New York Red Bulls 0–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Chicago Fire 2–2(xG 0.9–2.0)

Minnesota United FCLLLLD

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3(xG 1.9–1.6)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v St. Louis City 2–4
  • Thu 10 Sep · H v FC Dallas 1–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Portland Timbers 4–5
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Orlando City SC 3–3(xG 3.6–1.3)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Seattle Sounders
  • Seattle Sounders have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Seattle Sounders's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Seattle Sounders's last 5.
  • Seattle Sounders kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Minnesota United FC
  • Minnesota United FC have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Minnesota United FC have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of Minnesota United FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Minnesota United FC's last 5.
  • Minnesota United FC kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Seattle Sounders W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
0 of 1
  • Minnesota United FC 0–0 Seattle Sounders

7Context

Seattle Sounders

Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d

Minnesota United FC

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Lumen Field, Seattle · Referee: Bensalah, Nabil

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC?
Seattle Sounders's reported absences and doubts include P. Rothrock, P. de La Vega, J. Ragen, C. Roldan and 8 others. Minnesota United FC's include N. Triantis, J. Pereyra, C. Harvey, M. Boxall and 4 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC?
Seattle Sounders line up in a 4-2-3-1, Minnesota United FC in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.