Serie A · Regular Season - 26
RB BragantinovBahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia·
2 – 3 (FT)
1Headline
What we think
- RB Bragantino45% · Match result
- Over 1.576% · Goals
- Yes55% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes RB Bragantino the most likely of the three results, at 45% (we would not be surprised by anything from 38% to 51%). Most likely is not likely: at 45% this result does not happen 55% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Fri 4 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals we are saying nothing today: this market did not pass our own calibration checks, and a number we cannot stand behind is worse than no number.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
RB Bragantino
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
- Rodriguinho — out (Inactive)
- A. Sant'Anna — out (Yellow Cards)
- I. Pitta — out (Yellow Cards)
- Fernando Santos — out (Illness)
- Gustavo Marques — out (Yellow Cards)
- Fabinho — out (Red Card)
- Vanderlan — out (Knee Injury)
- Gabriel — out (Rest)
- H. Mosquera — out (Yellow Cards)
- Alix Vinicius — out (Yellow Cards)
- J. Herrera — out (Inactive)
- Davi Gomes — out (Knee Injury)
- Fabricio — out (Ankle Injury)
Bahia
Confirmed · 4-3-3
- Erick — out (Yellow Cards)
- C. Olivera — out (Yellow Cards)
- Michel Araujo — out (Inactive)
- Ademir — out (Injury)
- Everton Ribeiro — out (Inactive)
- David Duarte — out (Yellow Cards)
- Luciano Juba — out (Yellow Cards)
- Leo Vieira — out (Knee Injury)
- Caio Alexandre — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Ronaldo Strada — out (Shoulder Injury)
- M. Sanabria — out (Inactive)
- Gilberto — out (Muscle Injury)
- Ruan Pablo — out (Ankle Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
RB BragantinoLWDLD
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Sao Paulo 1–2(xG 0.5–1.6)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Gremio 1–0
- Sat 15 Aug · A v Atletico Paranaense 1–1
- Sun 9 Aug · H v Corinthians 0–2
- Sun 26 Jul · H v Coritiba 0–0
BahiaWWDDD
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Internacional 3–2(xG 2.4–1.7)
- Sun 23 Aug · A v Vitoria 2–0
- Sun 16 Aug · A v Chapecoense-sc 3–3
- Sun 9 Aug · H v Vasco DA Gama 0–0
- Thu 30 Jul · A v Fluminense 0–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- RB Bragantino have won 1 of their last 5.
- RB Bragantino have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 1 of RB Bragantino's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of RB Bragantino's last 5.
- RB Bragantino kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- Bahia have won 2 of their last 5.
- Bahia have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Bahia's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Bahia's last 5.
- Bahia kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- RB Bragantino W–D–L
- 0–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 0 of 1
- Both scored
- 0 of 1
- Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino
7Context
RB Bragantino
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Bahia
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista · Referee: M. Lima Barbosa
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
- Our model makes RB Bragantino the most likely result at 45%. Most likely is not likely — at 45% it does not happen 55% of the time.
- Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, against 45% that at least one side is kept out.
- What is the team news for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
- RB Bragantino's reported absences and doubts include Rodriguinho, A. Sant'Anna, I. Pitta, Fernando Santos and 9 others. Bahia's include Erick, C. Olivera, Michel Araujo, Ademir and 9 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
- RB Bragantino line up in a 4-2-3-1, Bahia in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.