Championship · Regular Season - 10

Bristol CityvBlackburn

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Bristol City a 46% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Bristol CityModel pendingMarket 46%
Bristol City:, no forecast published, market 46%

2Market

Open: 49% home · 26% draw · 25% away

Now: 46% home · 27% draw · 26% away

Moved −3pp — the market moved away from Bristol City

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs46%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs26%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs50%
Under 2.5—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs74%
Under 1.5—vs26%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs28%
Under 3.5—vs72%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs54%
No—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Bristol City

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • R. Dickie — out (Injury)
  • B. De Keersmaecker — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • G. Tanner — doubtful (Knock)
  • E. Adebayo — out (Inactive)
  • A. Randell — out (Red Card)
  • C. Pring — out (Ankle Injury)
  • O. Thomas — out (Injury)
  • L. McNally — out (Knee Injury)

Blackburn

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • M. Jorgensen — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • Y. Ribeiro — out (Injury)
  • A. Forshaw — out (Injury)
  • S. Wharton — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • H. Pickering — out (Inactive)
  • M. Litherland — out (Muscle Injury)
  • T. Atcheson — out (Red Card)
  • Y. Ohashi — out (Inactive)
  • L. Miller — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • A. Kargbo — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. De Neve — out (Injury)
  • M. Baradji — out (Hamstring Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Bristol CityWLLWW

  • Fri 18 Sep · H v Watford 1–0
  • Tue 15 Sep · H v Lincoln 0–1
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Southampton 1–4
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Burnley 2–1
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Preston 3–1

BlackburnDWLLD

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Portsmouth 2–2
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Millwall 3–1
  • Tue 8 Sep · H v Sheffield Utd 1–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Preston 1–2
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Lincoln 0–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Bristol City
  • Bristol City have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Bristol City have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Bristol City's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol City's last 5.
  • Bristol City kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Blackburn
  • Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Blackburn have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Blackburn's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Blackburn's last 5.
  • Blackburn kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Bristol City

Rest: 25 days · 0 matches in 14d

Blackburn

Rest: 24 days · 0 matches in 14d

Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Bristol City vs Blackburn?
Bristol City's reported absences and doubts include R. Dickie, B. De Keersmaecker, G. Tanner, E. Adebayo and 4 others. Blackburn's include M. Jorgensen, Y. Ribeiro, A. Forshaw, S. Wharton and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.