Championship · Regular Season - 10
CardiffvWatford
Cardiff
Watford·
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Cardiff a 57% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 58% home · 22% draw · 20% away
Now: 57% home · 22% draw · 21% away
Moved −1pp — the market moved away from Cardiff
Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Cardiff
Lineup not yet confirmed
- R. Colwill — out (Health problems)
- I. Davies — out (Injury)
- K. Bielik — doubtful (Inactive)
- G. Osho — out (Knee Injury)
- C. Chambers — out (Knee Injury)
- D. Lawlor — out (Muscle Injury)
- W. Fish — out (Hernia)
Watford
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Zemura — out (Inactive)
- B. Mlacic — out (Inactive)
- J. Ngakia — out (Thigh Injury)
- J. Grieves — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- E. Bove — out (Knee Injury)
- T. Akomeah — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- M. Boadu — out (Injury)
- O. H. Traore — out (Injury)
- M. Bola — out (Hamstring Injury)
- K. Baah — out (Knock)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
CardiffWLDLL
- Sat 19 Sep · H v Charlton 3–1
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Bolton 0–1
- Tue 8 Sep · H v Stoke City 1–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Portsmouth 0–2
- Wed 2 Sep · A v QPR 1–2(xG 0.6–2.1)
WatfordLLWLL
- Fri 18 Sep · A v Bristol City 0–1
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Stoke City 1–2
- Tue 8 Sep · H v Preston 2–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v West Brom 0–1
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Swansea 0–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Cardiff have won 1 of their last 5.
- Cardiff have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Cardiff's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Cardiff's last 5.
- Cardiff kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Watford have won 1 of their last 5.
- Watford have scored in 2 of their last 5.
- 2 of Watford's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Watford's last 5.
- Watford kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Cardiff
Rest: 24 days · 0 matches in 14d
Watford
Rest: 25 days · 0 matches in 14d
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Cardiff vs Watford?
- Cardiff's reported absences and doubts include R. Colwill, I. Davies, K. Bielik, G. Osho and 3 others. Watford's include J. Zemura, B. Mlacic, J. Ngakia, J. Grieves and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.