Championship · Regular Season - 10

WolvesvBolton

·

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Wolves a 69% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

WolvesModel pendingMarket 69%
Wolves:, no forecast published, market 69%

2Market

Open: 69% home · 19% draw · 12% away

Now: 69% home · 19% draw · 12% away

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs69%
Draw—vs19%
Away—vs12%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs60%
Under 2.5—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs82%
Under 1.5—vs18%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs37%
Under 3.5—vs63%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs53%
No—vs47%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Wolves

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • L. Krejci — out (Calf Injury)
  • S. Johnstone — out (Shoulder Injury)
  • R. Said — out (Knee Injury)
  • J. Bellegarde — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • R. Jimenez — out (Knee Injury)
  • S. Bueno — out (Inactive)
  • S. Neave — doubtful (Injury)
  • K. Trippier — out (Knee Injury)
  • Y. Mosquera — out (Ankle Injury)

Bolton

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • L. Stephenson — out (Injury)
  • C. Forino-Joseph — out (Groin Injury)
  • L. Brunt — out (Injury)
  • J. Sheehan — out (Red Card)
  • X. Simons — out (Red Card)
  • R. Rodrigues — out (Knee Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

WolvesWWDLW

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v West Brom 1–0
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Sheffield Utd 1–0
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Birmingham 2–2
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v West Ham 2–4
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Stoke City 4–1(xG 2.6–0.9)

BoltonWWLLL

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Norwich 4–3
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Cardiff 1–0
  • Tue 8 Sep · H v West Ham 2–3
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Millwall 0–4
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Sheffield Utd 2–3

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Wolves
  • Wolves have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Wolves have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Wolves's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Wolves's last 5.
  • Wolves kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Bolton
  • Bolton have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Bolton have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Bolton's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton's last 5.
  • Bolton kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Wolves

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Bolton

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Wolves vs Bolton?
Wolves's reported absences and doubts include L. Krejci, S. Johnstone, R. Said, J. Bellegarde and 5 others. Bolton's include L. Stephenson, C. Forino-Joseph, L. Brunt, J. Sheehan and 2 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.