Premier League · Regular Season - 6

CoventryvNewcastle

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Newcastle a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

NewcastleModel pendingMarket 44%
Newcastle:, no forecast published, market 44%

2Market

Open: 30% home · 26% draw · 44% away

Now: 30% home · 26% draw · 44% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs30%
Draw—vs26%
Away—vs44%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs57%
Under 2.5—vs43%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs80%
Under 1.5—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs34%
Under 3.5—vs66%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs61%
No—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Coventry

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • T. Awoniyi — out (Red Card)
  • A. Amenda — out (Calf Injury)
  • J. Eccles — out (Injury)
  • Y. Gboho — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • F. Onyeka — doubtful (Inactive)
  • S. Mfuni — out (Loan agreement)
  • K. Kesler-Hayden — out (Muscle Injury)
  • H. Wright — out (Muscle Injury)
  • L. Woolfenden — out (Knee Injury)

Newcastle

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • Joelinton — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Ramsey — out (Injury)
  • Nico — out (Injury)
  • A. Elanga — out (Knee Injury)
  • A. Dedic — out (Injury)
  • E. Jaouen — out (Ankle Injury)
  • V. Livramento — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • M. Fernandez-Pardo — out (Transfer negotiations)
  • W. Osula — out (Injury)
  • D. Burn — out (Ankle Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

CoventryWLLLL

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v Nottingham Forest 1–0
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Brighton 0–5
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Manchester City 0–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Hull City 0–1(xG 1.3–0.7)
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Arsenal 0–3

NewcastleWLDWD

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Hull City 2–1
  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Leeds 1–4
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Bournemouth 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Tottenham 2–0(xG 0.8–1.0)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Liverpool 2–2(xG 1.6–3.0)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Coventry
  • Coventry have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Coventry have scored in 1 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Coventry's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 0 of Coventry's last 5.
  • Coventry kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Newcastle
  • Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Newcastle have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Newcastle's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle's last 5.
  • Newcastle kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Coventry

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Newcastle

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Venue unconfirmed

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Coventry vs Newcastle?
Coventry's reported absences and doubts include T. Awoniyi, A. Amenda, J. Eccles, Y. Gboho and 5 others. Newcastle's include Joelinton, J. Ramsey, Nico, A. Elanga and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.