2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
FC St. PaulivVfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg·
1 – 0 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives FC St. Pauli a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
Matches we've forecast today
Here are some matches from today's board that have our model forecasts:
2Market
Open: 39% home · 25% draw · 36% away
Now: 39% home · 25% draw · 36% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed · 3-4-2-1
No reported absences.
VfL Wolfsburg
Confirmed · 4-3-3
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
FC St. PauliDLDDL
- Fri 4 Sep · A v Arminia Bielefeld 2–2
- Sun 30 Aug · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–2
- Fri 14 Aug · A v Holstein Kiel 2–2
- Sun 9 Aug · H v SpVgg Greuther Furth 1–1
- Sat 16 May · H v VfL Wolfsburg 1–3
VfL WolfsburgDWWDL
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Energie Cottbus 4–4
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Karlsruher SC 5–2
- Sun 16 Aug · A v Hannover 96 1–0
- Sat 8 Aug · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0
- Mon 25 May · A v SC Paderborn 07 1–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5.
- FC St. Pauli have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of FC St. Pauli's last 5.
- FC St. Pauli kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- VfL Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 5.
- VfL Wolfsburg have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 5.
- VfL Wolfsburg kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 4 prior meetings on record — thin sample.
In their last 4 meetings, FC St. Pauli have won 0, VfL Wolfsburg 2, with 2 drawn.
- FC St. Pauli W–D–L
- 0–2–2
- Over 2.5
- 2 of 4
- Both scored
- 3 of 4
- FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
- VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli
- VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli
- FC St. Pauli 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg
7Context
FC St. Pauli
Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d
VfL Wolfsburg
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What are the confirmed lineups for FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- FC St. Pauli line up in a 3-4-2-1, VfL Wolfsburg in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.
- What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg?
- In their last 4 meetings, FC St. Pauli have won 0, VfL Wolfsburg 2, with 2 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of those 4 meetings, and both teams scored in 3.