Serie A · Regular Season - 6

LeccevBologna

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1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Bologna a 50% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

BolognaModel pendingMarket 50%
Bologna:, no forecast published, market 50%

2Market

Open: 21% home · 28% draw · 50% away

Now: 21% home · 28% draw · 50% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs21%
Draw—vs28%
Away—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs45%
Under 2.5—vs55%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs71%
Under 1.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs23%
Under 3.5—vs77%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs50%
No—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Lecce

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • M. Berisha — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • Tiago Gabriel — out (Injury)
  • W. Geubbels — out (Ankle Injury)
  • O. Gandelman — out (Inactive)
  • L. Banda — out (Inactive)
  • A. Gallo — doubtful (Injury)

Bologna

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • N. Zortea — out (Hip Injury)
  • A. Dovbyk — out (Muscle Injury)
  • R. Orsolini — out (Injury)
  • J. Rowe — out (Inactive)
  • O. El Azzouzi — out (Thigh Injury)
  • N. Casale — out (Muscle Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

LecceLWLLW

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v AC Milan 0–3(xG 0.2–2.2)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Monza 3–2(xG 1.1–2.8)
  • Mon 7 Sep · A v Cagliari 0–1
  • Mon 31 Aug · H v AS Roma 0–4(xG 0.7–3.4)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Venezia 2–0(xG 2.7–2.0)

BolognaDLDLL

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Torino 1–1(xG 0.6–0.9)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Napoli 0–1(xG 0.3–1.8)
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Sassuolo 2–2
  • Mon 31 Aug · A v Atalanta 0–1(xG 1.4–0.2)
  • Mon 24 Aug · H v Lazio 0–1(xG 1.8–0.6)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Lecce
  • Lecce have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Lecce have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Lecce's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Lecce's last 5.
  • Lecce kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Bologna
  • Bologna have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Bologna have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Bologna's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Bologna's last 5.
  • Bologna kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 8 meetings, Lecce have won 0, Bologna 5, with 3 drawn.

Lecce W–D–L
0–3–5
Over 2.5
3 of 8
Both scored
3 of 8
  • Bologna 2–0 Lecce
  • Lecce 2–2 Bologna
  • Lecce 0–0 Bologna
  • Bologna 1–0 Lecce
  • Bologna 4–0 Lecce
  • Lecce 1–1 Bologna
  • Lecce 2–3 Bologna
  • Bologna 2–0 Lecce

7Context

Lecce

Rest: 21 days · 0 matches in 14d

Bologna

Rest: 22 days · 0 matches in 14d

Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for Lecce vs Bologna?
Lecce's reported absences and doubts include M. Berisha, Tiago Gabriel, W. Geubbels, O. Gandelman and 2 others. Bologna's include N. Zortea, A. Dovbyk, R. Orsolini, J. Rowe and 2 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Bologna?
In their last 8 meetings, Lecce have won 0, Bologna 5, with 3 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of those 8 meetings, and both teams scored in 3.