Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

Boca JuniorsvCentral Cordoba de Santiago

·

3 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Boca Juniors a 65% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Boca JuniorsModel pendingMarket 65%
Boca Juniors:, no forecast published, market 65%

2Market

Open: 70% home · 21% draw · 10% away

Now: 65% home · 23% draw · 13% away

Moved −5pp — the market moved away from Boca Juniors

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs65%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs44%
Under 2.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs70%
Under 1.5—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs22%
Under 3.5—vs78%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs40%
No—vs60%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Boca Juniors

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Boca JuniorsDWDDD

  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Gimnasia M. 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Lanus 1–0(xG 1.2–0.9)
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Racing Club 1–1
  • Sun 16 Aug · A v Platense 1–1
  • Sat 8 Aug · H v Velez Sarsfield 1–1

Central Cordoba de SantiagoLDLLW

  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Independiente 0–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Talleres Cordoba 0–0(xG 1.2–1.0)
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Tigre 1–2
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Instituto Cordoba 0–1
  • Tue 11 Aug · A v Union Santa Fe 2–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Boca Juniors
  • Boca Juniors have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Boca Juniors have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Boca Juniors's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Boca Juniors's last 5.
  • Boca Juniors kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Central Cordoba de Santiago's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Central Cordoba de Santiago's last 5.
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Boca Juniors W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 Boca Juniors

7Context

Boca Juniors

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires · Referee: Y. Perez

8Red flags