Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

TigrevRosario Central

·

0 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Rosario Central a 37% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Rosario CentralModel pendingMarket 37%
Rosario Central:, no forecast published, market 37%

2Market

Open: 29% home · 34% draw · 37% away

Now: 29% home · 34% draw · 37% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs29%
Draw—vs34%
Away—vs37%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs33%
Under 2.5—vs67%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs60%
Under 1.5—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs14%
Under 3.5—vs86%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs42%
No—vs58%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Tigre

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

Rosario Central

Lineup not yet confirmed

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

TigreLDWDW

  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Gimnasia L.P. 1–2
  • Tue 1 Sep · H v Barracas Central 0–0(xG 0.3–0.6)
  • Mon 24 Aug · H v Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1
  • Sat 15 Aug · A v Aldosivi 0–0
  • Sat 8 Aug · H v River Plate 1–0

Rosario CentralDLDWW

  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Newells Old Boys 1–1
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Gimnasia L.P. 1–2(xG 0.6–0.4)
  • Tue 25 Aug · A v Talleres Cordoba 2–2
  • Sun 16 Aug · A v Barracas Central 1–0
  • Fri 7 Aug · H v Aldosivi 2–1

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Tigre
  • Tigre have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Tigre have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Tigre's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Tigre's last 5.
  • Tigre kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Rosario Central have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Rosario Central's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Rosario Central's last 5.
  • Rosario Central kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Tigre W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Rosario Central 1–1 Tigre

7Context

Tigre

Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d

Rosario Central

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires · Referee: Andres Merlos, Argentina

8Red flags