Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 8

Rosario CentralvNewells Old Boys

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1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Rosario Central a 60% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Rosario CentralModel pendingMarket 60%
Rosario Central:, no forecast published, market 60%

2Market

Open: 59% home · 27% draw · 14% away

Now: 60% home · 27% draw · 13% away

Moved +1pp — the market moved towards Rosario Central

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 2 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs60%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs37%
Under 2.5—vs63%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs64%
Under 1.5—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs16%
Under 3.5—vs84%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs37%
No—vs63%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Rosario Central

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Newells Old Boys

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Rosario CentralLDWWW

  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Gimnasia L.P. 1–2(xG 0.6–0.4)
  • Tue 25 Aug · A v Talleres Cordoba 2–2
  • Sun 16 Aug · A v Barracas Central 1–0
  • Fri 7 Aug · H v Aldosivi 2–1
  • Sun 2 Aug · A v River Plate 1–0

Newells Old BoysDWWLD

  • Mon 31 Aug · A v Estudiantes L.P. 0–0(xG 1.1–2.2)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Banfield 2–1
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Deportivo Riestra 2–0
  • Sun 9 Aug · A v Defensa Y Justicia 1–2
  • Sun 2 Aug · H v Boca Juniors 2–2

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Rosario Central have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Rosario Central's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Rosario Central's last 5.
  • Rosario Central kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Newells Old Boys
  • Newells Old Boys have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Newells Old Boys have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Newells Old Boys's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Newells Old Boys's last 5.
  • Newells Old Boys kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Rosario Central W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
0 of 1
  • Newells Old Boys 0–2 Rosario Central

7Context

Rosario Central

Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d

Newells Old Boys

Rest: 6 days · 1 match in 14d

Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario · Referee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys?
Rosario Central line up in a 4-2-3-1, Newells Old Boys in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.