Premiership · Regular Season - 6
ST MirrenvCeltic
ST Mirren
Celtic·
1 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
What we think
- Celtic58% · Match result
- Over 1.570% · Goals
- No53% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Celtic the most likely of the three results, at 58% (we would not be surprised by anything from 47% to 70%). Most likely is not likely: at 58% this result does not happen 42% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Fri 4 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals we are saying nothing today: this market did not pass our own calibration checks, and a number we cannot stand behind is worse than no number.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
Withheld: this market failed our own calibration checks, so we are not showing a number we do not trust. The price is still below.
Nothing to show here yet — no forecast of ours and no price from the market.
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
ST Mirren
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
Celtic
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
ST MirrenWDWW
- Wed 2 Sep · A v Kilmarnock 1–0
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Motherwell 3–3(xG 2.3–2.2)
- Sat 8 Aug · H v ST Johnstone 1–0
- Sat 1 Aug · A v Falkirk 2–0
CelticWWWW
- Wed 2 Sep · H v Aberdeen 3–0
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Falkirk 2–1(xG 2.9–0.5)
- Sun 9 Aug · A v Kilmarnock 5–1
- Mon 3 Aug · H v Dundee 1–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- ST Mirren have won 3 of their last 4.
- ST Mirren have scored in 4 of their last 4.
- 1 of ST Mirren's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 1 of ST Mirren's last 4.
- ST Mirren kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4.
- Celtic have won 4 of their last 4.
- Celtic have scored in 4 of their last 4.
- 3 of Celtic's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Celtic's last 4.
- Celtic kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 4.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
ST Mirren
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
Celtic
Rest: 3 days · 2 matches in 14d
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley · Referee: Ryan Lee, Scotland
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Wide interval
The model's confidence interval is wide.
Common questions
- Who will win ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- Our model makes Celtic the most likely result at 58%. Most likely is not likely — at 58% it does not happen 42% of the time.
- Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 47% chance, against 53% that at least one side is kept out.
- What are the confirmed lineups for ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- ST Mirren line up in a 4-2-3-1, Celtic in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.