Süper Lig · Regular Season - 5

BeşiktaşvErzurumspor FK

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3 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Beşiktaş a 79% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

BeşiktaşModel pendingMarket 79%
Beşiktaş:, no forecast published, market 79%

2Market

Open: 75% home · 17% draw · 8% away

Now: 79% home · 15% draw · 6% away

Moved +4pp — the market moved towards Beşiktaş

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs79%
Draw—vs15%
Away—vs6%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs62%
Under 2.5—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs85%
Under 1.5—vs15%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs40%
Under 3.5—vs60%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs44%
No—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Beşiktaş

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • L. Trossard — out (Injury)
  • R. Yilmaz — out (Inactive)
  • D. Vlahovic — out (Suspended)
  • J. Olaitan — doubtful (Injury)
  • E. Ricardo — out (Off the roster)

Erzurumspor FK

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • E. Owusu — doubtful (Injury)
  • O. Ovacikli — doubtful (Injury)
  • E. Yigit — out (Suspended)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

BeşiktaşWWLW

  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Fenerbahçe 2–1
  • Mon 31 Aug · H v Çorum FK 6–2(xG 2.9–0.6)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Alanyaspor 0–1
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Eyüpspor 1–0

Erzurumspor FKWDLL

  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Konyaspor 1–0
  • Fri 28 Aug · A v Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1(xG 0.9–0.8)
  • Fri 21 Aug · H v Galatasaray 0–4
  • Sun 16 Aug · A v Amed 0–3

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Beşiktaş
  • Beşiktaş have won 3 of their last 4.
  • Beşiktaş have scored in 3 of their last 4.
  • 2 of Beşiktaş's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Beşiktaş's last 4.
  • Beşiktaş kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 4.
Erzurumspor FK
  • Erzurumspor FK have won 1 of their last 4.
  • Erzurumspor FK have scored in 2 of their last 4.
  • 2 of Erzurumspor FK's last 4 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Erzurumspor FK's last 4.
  • Erzurumspor FK kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 4.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Beşiktaş

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Erzurumspor FK

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Besiktas Park, Istanbul · Referee: G. Hasova

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Beşiktaş's reported absences and doubts include L. Trossard, R. Yilmaz, D. Vlahovic, J. Olaitan and 1 other. Erzurumspor FK's include E. Owusu, O. Ovacikli, E. Yigit. Each player's status is in the availability section above.