Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

CF MontrealvFC Cincinnati

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3 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives FC Cincinnati a 41% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

FC CincinnatiModel pendingMarket 41%
FC Cincinnati:, no forecast published, market 41%

2Market

Open: 37% home · 24% draw · 39% away

Now: 35% home · 24% draw · 41% away

Moved −2pp — the market moved away from CF Montreal

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs35%
Draw—vs24%
Away—vs41%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs66%
Under 2.5—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs87%
Under 1.5—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs44%
Under 3.5—vs56%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs68%
No—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

CF Montreal

Confirmed · 3-4-3

  • G. Synchuk — out (International duty)
  • N. Streit — out (International duty)
  • V. Radojevic — out (International duty)
  • E. Morales — out (International duty)
  • W. Carmona — out (International duty)
  • T. Gillier — out (Upper-Body Injury)
  • B. Vera — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • B. Ceballos — out (Yellow Cards)
  • F. Herbers — out (Leg Injury)
  • B. Hidalgo — out (Groin Injury)
  • T. Aviles — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • S. Ibrahim — out (Back Injury)
  • F. Amaya — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • D. Sealy — out (International duty)
  • S. Piette — out (Yellow Cards)
  • O. Escobar — out (International duty)

FC Cincinnati

Confirmed · 3-5-2

  • M. Robinson — out (International duty)
  • E. Echenique — out (Inactive)
  • K. Denkey — out (International duty)
  • A. Chirila — out (International duty)
  • O. Nwobodo — out (Red Card)
  • K. Fletcher — out (Knee Injury)
  • M. Miazga — out (Yellow Cards)
  • A. Powell — out (Leg Injury)
  • R. Celentano — out (Leg Injury)
  • P. Bucha — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

CF MontrealLLLLL

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Columbus Crew 0–2(xG 0.5–0.9)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Colorado Rapids 0–1
  • Wed 9 Sep · H v Charlotte 1–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Philadelphia Union 0–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Inter Miami 1–7(xG 0.9–3.0)

FC CincinnatiDDLLD

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Houston Dynamo 2–2(xG 2.9–1.2)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Charlotte 3–3
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v Philadelphia Union 0–5
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Nashville SC 0–4(xG 1.9–1.8)
  • Sat 22 Aug · H v Seattle Sounders 1–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

CF Montreal
  • CF Montreal have won 0 of their last 5.
  • CF Montreal have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 2 of CF Montreal's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of CF Montreal's last 5.
  • CF Montreal kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati have won 0 of their last 5.
  • FC Cincinnati have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 4 of FC Cincinnati's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of FC Cincinnati's last 5.
  • FC Cincinnati kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

CF Montreal W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • FC Cincinnati 4–3 CF Montreal

7Context

CF Montreal

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

FC Cincinnati

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Saputo Stadium, Montreal · Referee: Ismail Elfath

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montreal's reported absences and doubts include G. Synchuk, N. Streit, V. Radojevic, E. Morales and 12 others. FC Cincinnati's include M. Robinson, E. Echenique, K. Denkey, A. Chirila and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montreal line up in a 3-4-3, FC Cincinnati in a 3-5-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.