Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Nashville SCvToronto FC

·

2 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Nashville SC a 69% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Nashville SCModel pendingMarket 69%
Nashville SC:, no forecast published, market 69%

2Market

Open: 67% home · 19% draw · 14% away

Now: 69% home · 19% draw · 13% away

Moved +2pp — the market moved towards Nashville SC

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 7 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs69%
Draw—vs19%
Away—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs65%
Under 2.5—vs35%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs86%
Under 1.5—vs14%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs43%
Under 3.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs58%
No—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Nashville SC

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • P. Yazbek — out (International duty)
  • X. Valdez — out (International duty)
  • C. Applewhite — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • R. Baker-Whiting — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • E. Tagseth — out (Leg Injury)
  • S. Surridge — out (Back Injury)
  • W. Madrigal — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • B. Schwake — out (International duty)
  • A. Qasem — out (International duty)

Toronto FC

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • W. Zimmerman — out (Yellow Cards)
  • R. Laryea — out (International duty)
  • B. Kuscevic — out (International duty)
  • M. Cimermancic — out (International duty)
  • D. Mihailovic — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. Osorio — out (Knee Injury)
  • D. Kerr — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • N. Gomis — out (Thigh Injury)
  • H. Wingo — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • L. Stefanovic — out (Foot Injury)
  • J. Vilsaint — out (Groin Injury)
  • R. Chukwu — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Nashville SCWDLDW

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 3–0(xG 2.1–1.0)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v Toronto FC 1–2
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v New York City FC 0–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v FC Cincinnati 4–0(xG 1.8–1.9)

Toronto FCLLWDD

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v St. Louis City 1–3(xG 1.1–2.5)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Orlando City SC 0–3
  • Wed 9 Sep · H v Nashville SC 2–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 4–4
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v New York City FC 1–1(xG 0.8–0.4)

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Nashville SC
  • Nashville SC have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Nashville SC have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Nashville SC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Nashville SC's last 5.
  • Nashville SC kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Toronto FC
  • Toronto FC have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Toronto FC have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Toronto FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Toronto FC's last 5.
  • Toronto FC kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Nashville SC W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC

7Context

Nashville SC

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Toronto FC

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Geodis Park, Nashville · Referee: Ramy Touchan

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Nashville SC's reported absences and doubts include P. Yazbek, X. Valdez, C. Applewhite, R. Baker-Whiting and 5 others. Toronto FC's include W. Zimmerman, R. Laryea, B. Kuscevic, M. Cimermancic and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Nashville SC line up in a 4-3-3, Toronto FC in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.