Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

New York Red BullsvSt. Louis City

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0 – 0

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives St. Louis City a 51% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

St. Louis CityModel pendingMarket 51%
St. Louis City:, no forecast published, market 51%

2Market

Open: 29% home · 23% draw · 48% away

Now: 26% home · 22% draw · 51% away

Moved +3pp — the market moved towards St. Louis City

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 6 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs26%
Draw—vs22%
Away—vs51%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs68%
Under 2.5—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs88%
Under 1.5—vs12%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs46%
Under 3.5—vs54%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs67%
No—vs33%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

New York Red Bulls

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • J. Marshall-Rutty — doubtful (Injury)
  • A. Marcucci — doubtful (Knee Injury)
  • J. Che — doubtful (Ankle Injury)
  • O. Valencia — out (International duty)
  • R. Mosquera — out (International duty)
  • A. Mehmeti — out (International duty)
  • R. Donkor — out (International duty)
  • C. Harper — out (Muscle Injury)
  • D. Nealis — out (Ankle Injury)
  • M. Sofo — doubtful (Ankle Injury)
  • D. Ruiz — out (International duty)
  • M. Jimenez — out (International duty)
  • J. Hall — out (International duty)

St. Louis City

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • B. McSorley — doubtful (Ankle Injury)
  • P. Ault — doubtful (Ankle Injury)
  • C. Wallem — out (Yellow Cards)
  • T. Ostrak — out (Muscle Injury)
  • T. Pearce — out (Injury)
  • C. Durkin — out (Yellow Cards)
  • S. Jeong — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Orozco — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • T. Totland — out (Leg Injury)
  • D. Downs — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

New York Red BullsWWLDL

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v New York City FC 1–0(xG 1.4–2.3)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Columbus Crew 1–0
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v Los Angeles FC 0–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Seattle Sounders 0–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Philadelphia Union 1–3(xG 2.0–2.5)

St. Louis CityWWDWD

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Toronto FC 3–1(xG 2.5–1.1)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Minnesota United FC 4–2
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v Portland Timbers 2–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v FC Dallas 3–3(xG 1.9–1.0)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

New York Red Bulls
  • New York Red Bulls have won 2 of their last 5.
  • New York Red Bulls have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 1 of New York Red Bulls's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of New York Red Bulls's last 5.
  • New York Red Bulls kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
St. Louis City
  • St. Louis City have won 3 of their last 5.
  • St. Louis City have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of St. Louis City's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of St. Louis City's last 5.
  • St. Louis City kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

New York Red Bulls

Rest: 12 days · 1 match in 14d

St. Louis City

Rest: 11 days · 1 match in 14d

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison · Referee: Rubiel Vazquez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
New York Red Bulls's reported absences and doubts include J. Marshall-Rutty, A. Marcucci, J. Che, O. Valencia and 9 others. St. Louis City's include B. McSorley, P. Ault, C. Wallem, T. Ostrak and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.