Championship · Regular Season - 10
NorwichvSouthampton
Norwich
Southampton·
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Norwich a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 39% home · 24% draw · 36% away
Now: 39% home · 24% draw · 36% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Norwich
Lineup not yet confirmed
- J. Makama — out (Foot Injury)
- P. Maghoma — out (Calf Injury)
- M. Topic — out (Knee Injury)
- L. Mahovo — out (Ankle Injury)
- A. Crnac — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
- A. Ahmed — out (Knee Injury)
- L. Gibbs — out (Muscle Injury)
Southampton
Lineup not yet confirmed
- R. Akachukwu — doubtful (Injury)
- T. Harwood-Bellis — out (Injury)
- C. Jander — out (Lacking Match Fitness)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
NorwichLLWWL
- Sun 20 Sep · H v Bolton 3–4
- Sat 12 Sep · A v Middlesbrough 3–4
- Wed 9 Sep · H v Birmingham 2–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Sheffield Utd 3–1
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Stoke City 0–1
SouthamptonLWWDD
- Sat 19 Sep · A v Wrexham 1–2
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Bristol City 4–1
- Tue 8 Sep · H v Swansea 3–1
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Lincoln 1–1
- Tue 1 Sep · A v Birmingham 1–1
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Norwich have won 2 of their last 5.
- Norwich have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 4 of Norwich's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Norwich's last 5.
- Norwich kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- Southampton have won 2 of their last 5.
- Southampton have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 3 of Southampton's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 5.
- Southampton kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 2 prior meetings on record — thin sample.
In their last 2 meetings, Norwich have won 1, Southampton 1, with 0 drawn.
- Norwich W–D–L
- 1–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 2
- Both scored
- 1 of 2
- Southampton 2–0 Norwich
- Norwich 2–1 Southampton
7Context
Norwich
Rest: 24 days · 0 matches in 14d
Southampton
Rest: 25 days · 0 matches in 14d
Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Norwich vs Southampton?
- Norwich's reported absences and doubts include J. Makama, P. Maghoma, M. Topic, L. Mahovo and 3 others. Southampton's include R. Akachukwu, T. Harwood-Bellis, C. Jander. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Southampton?
- In their last 2 meetings, Norwich have won 1, Southampton 1, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of those 2 meetings, and both teams scored in 1.