Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 9

BanfieldvBarracas Central

·

1 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Banfield a 37% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

BanfieldModel pendingMarket 37%
Banfield:, no forecast published, market 37%

2Market

Open: 40% home · 33% draw · 28% away

Now: 37% home · 34% draw · 29% away

Moved −3pp — the market moved away from Banfield

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 7 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs37%
Draw—vs34%
Away—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs32%
Under 2.5—vs68%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs60%
Under 1.5—vs40%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs13%
Under 3.5—vs87%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs41%
No—vs59%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Banfield

Confirmed · 4-1-4-1

No reported absences.

Barracas Central

Confirmed · 5-3-2

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

BanfieldLLLWL

  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Aldosivi 1–3
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v River Plate 2–3(xG 1.2–3.3)
  • Sun 23 Aug · A v Newells Old Boys 1–2
  • Fri 14 Aug · A v Racing Club 1–0
  • Mon 10 Aug · H v Belgrano Cordoba 0–2

Barracas CentralDDLLL

  • Mon 7 Sep · H v Argentinos JRS 0–0
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Tigre 0–0(xG 0.6–0.3)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Platense 1–2
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Rosario Central 0–1
  • Sun 9 Aug · A v Gimnasia L.P. 0–2

5Trends

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Banfield
  • Banfield have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Banfield have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Banfield's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Banfield's last 5.
  • Banfield kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
Barracas Central
  • Barracas Central have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Barracas Central have scored in 1 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Barracas Central's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Barracas Central's last 5.
  • Barracas Central kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Banfield W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Barracas Central 1–2 Banfield

7Context

Banfield

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Barracas Central

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires · Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Banfield vs Barracas Central?
Banfield line up in a 4-1-4-1, Barracas Central in a 5-3-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.