Süper Lig · Regular Season - 4
BaşakşehirvGalatasaray
Başakşehir
Galatasaray·
2 – 3 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Galatasaray a 60% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 20% home · 22% draw · 58% away
Now: 18% home · 22% draw · 60% away
Moved +2pp — the market moved towards Galatasaray
Solid: the market over 11 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Başakşehir
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
- E. Visca — out (Inactive)
- U. Bozok — out (Red Card)
Galatasaray
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
- W. Singo — out (Thigh Injury)
- V. Osimhen — out (Injury)
- M. Lemina — out (Muscle Injury)
- R. Leao — out (Muscle Injury)
- G. Guvenc — out (Muscle Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
BaşakşehirDLW
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Kasımpaşa 1–1(xG 0.8–1.7)
- Sun 23 Aug · A v Trabzonspor 1–2
- Sun 16 Aug · H v Kocaelispor 2–0
GalatasarayWWD
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Göztepe 3–2(xG 2.9–0.6)
- Fri 21 Aug · A v Erzurumspor FK 4–0
- Fri 14 Aug · H v Çorum FK 2–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Başakşehir have won 1 of their last 3.
- Başakşehir have scored in 3 of their last 3.
- 1 of Başakşehir's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Başakşehir's last 3.
- Başakşehir kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 3.
- Galatasaray have won 2 of their last 3.
- Galatasaray have scored in 3 of their last 3.
- 3 of Galatasaray's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Galatasaray's last 3.
- Galatasaray kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 3.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Başakşehir
Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d
Galatasaray
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul · Referee: K. Saglam
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
- Başakşehir's reported absences and doubts include E. Visca, U. Bozok. Galatasaray's include W. Singo, V. Osimhen, M. Lemina, R. Leao and 1 other. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
- Başakşehir line up in a 4-2-3-1, Galatasaray in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.