Süper Lig · Regular Season - 4

KasımpaşavAmed

·

2 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Kasımpaşa a 38% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

KasımpaşaModel pendingMarket 38%
Kasımpaşa:, no forecast published, market 38%

2Market

Open: 39% home · 29% draw · 31% away

Now: 38% home · 30% draw · 33% away

Moved −1pp — the market moved away from Kasımpaşa

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 6 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs38%
Draw—vs30%
Away—vs33%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs43%
Under 2.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs70%
Under 1.5—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs21%
Under 3.5—vs79%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs50%
No—vs50%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Kasımpaşa

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • A. Baldursson — out (Injury)
  • M. Ouanes — out (Inactive)
  • H. Hajradinovic — out (Inactive)
  • T. Diarra — out (Inactive)
  • K. Corekci — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Amed

Confirmed · 3-4-3

  • G. Gul — out (Inactive)
  • D. Demir — out (Knee Injury)
  • M. Yildirim — out (Inactive)
  • Y. Sor — out (Injury)
  • D. Bates — doubtful (Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

KasımpaşaDWD

  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Başakşehir 1–1(xG 1.7–0.8)
  • Sat 22 Aug · A v Çorum FK 1–0
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Trabzonspor 1–1

AmedWLW

  • Mon 31 Aug · H v Trabzonspor 2–1(xG 2.7–0.9)
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Kocaelispor 0–2
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Erzurumspor FK 3–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Kasımpaşa
  • Kasımpaşa have won 1 of their last 3.
  • Kasımpaşa have scored in 3 of their last 3.
  • 0 of Kasımpaşa's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Kasımpaşa's last 3.
  • Kasımpaşa kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 3.
Amed
  • Amed have won 2 of their last 3.
  • Amed have scored in 2 of their last 3.
  • 2 of Amed's last 3 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of Amed's last 3.
  • Amed kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 3.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Kasımpaşa

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Amed

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul · Referee: O. Cakir

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
Kasımpaşa's reported absences and doubts include A. Baldursson, M. Ouanes, H. Hajradinovic, T. Diarra and 1 other. Amed's include G. Gul, D. Demir, M. Yildirim, Y. Sor and 1 other. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
Kasımpaşa line up in a 4-3-3, Amed in a 3-4-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.