Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27
Atlanta United FCvNew York City FC
Atlanta United FC
New York City FC·
2 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Atlanta United FC a 38% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 43% home · 26% draw · 31% away
Now: 38% home · 26% draw · 36% away
Moved +5pp — the market moved towards New York City FC
Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Atlanta United FC
Confirmed · 4-3-3
- F. Picault — out (International duty)
- P. Diaz — out (International duty)
- M. Almiron — out (International duty)
- C. Sanchez — out (Injury)
- S. Alzate — out (Illness)
- E. Latte Lath — out (Transfer negotiations)
- T. Jacob — out (Yellow Cards)
- W. Reilly — out (Ankle Injury)
- A. Fortune — out (Hamstring Injury)
- Sergio Santos — out (Calf Injury)
- M. Galarza — out (Injury)
- A. Miranchuk — out (International duty)
- J. Alonso — out (International duty)
New York City FC
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
- A. O'Neill — out (International duty)
- T. Gray — out (International duty)
- K. Parks — out (Injury)
- Talles Magno — out (Muscle Injury)
- K. Trewin — out (Ankle Injury)
- M. Ilenic — out (International duty)
- M. Freese — out (International duty)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Atlanta United FCWDLDL
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Portland Timbers 1–0(xG 0.7–1.5)
- Sat 12 Sep · A v DC United 0–0
- Wed 9 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 2–3
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2
- Sat 29 Aug · H v Charlotte 0–2(xG 0.9–1.6)
New York City FCLWLDD
- Fri 18 Sep · H v New York Red Bulls 0–1(xG 2.3–1.4)
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 2–0
- Thu 10 Sep · H v New England Revolution 1–2
- Fri 4 Sep · H v Nashville SC 0–0
- Sat 29 Aug · A v Toronto FC 1–1(xG 0.4–0.8)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Atlanta United FC have won 1 of their last 5.
- Atlanta United FC have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of Atlanta United FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Atlanta United FC's last 5.
- Atlanta United FC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
- New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5.
- New York City FC have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 1 of New York City FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of New York City FC's last 5.
- New York City FC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Atlanta United FC
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
New York City FC
Rest: 8 days · 2 matches in 14d
Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta · Referee: Alexis Da Silva
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
- Atlanta United FC's reported absences and doubts include F. Picault, P. Diaz, M. Almiron, C. Sanchez and 9 others. New York City FC's include A. O'Neill, T. Gray, K. Parks, Talles Magno and 3 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
- Atlanta United FC line up in a 4-3-3, New York City FC in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.