Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27
AustinvSan Diego
Austin
San Diego·
3 – 3 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Austin a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 41% home · 25% draw · 34% away
Now: 39% home · 26% draw · 36% away
Moved −2pp — the market moved away from Austin
Solid: the market over 7 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Austin
Confirmed · 3-4-3
- M. Uzuni — out (International duty)
- Guilherme Biro — out (Yellow Cards)
- P. Placheta — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- O. Wolff — out (Ankle Injury)
- M. Desler — out (Achilles Tendon Injury)
- B. Hines-Ike — out (Muscle Injury)
- J. Nelson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- D. Pereira — out (Injury)
- J. Rosales — out (Yellow Cards)
San Diego
Confirmed · 3-4-3
- dos Santos CJ — out (International duty)
- S. Vines — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- A. Mighten — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- Gabriel Pirani — out (Injury)
- J. Tverskov — out (Red Card)
- A. Pellegrino — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- L. Bombino — out (Red Card)
- A. Reyes — out (Leg Injury)
- W. Kumado — out (Leg Injury)
- L. Morgan — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- P. Sisniega — out (Back Injury)
- W. Eisner — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- O. Valakari — out (International duty)
- E. Achouri — out (International duty)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
AustinDWDDW
- Sun 20 Sep · A v FC Dallas 0–0(xG 0.3–1.8)
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1
- Thu 10 Sep · H v Colorado Rapids 1–1
- Sun 6 Sep · H v San Jose Earthquakes 1–1
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Portland Timbers 2–1(xG 1.2–2.0)
San DiegoDLLLW
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Inter Miami 2–2(xG 1.8–1.5)
- Mon 14 Sep · H v Philadelphia Union 0–5
- Thu 10 Sep · H v San Jose Earthquakes 2–3
- Sat 5 Sep · A v Orlando City SC 0–1
- Sun 30 Aug · H v Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1(xG 2.8–0.8)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Austin have won 2 of their last 5.
- Austin have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 2 of Austin's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Austin's last 5.
- Austin kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- San Diego have won 1 of their last 5.
- San Diego have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 4 of San Diego's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of San Diego's last 5.
- San Diego kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Austin W–D–L
- 0–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 0 of 1
- San Diego 5–0 Austin
7Context
Austin
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
San Diego
Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d
Q2 Stadium, Austin · Referee: Jon Freemon
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Austin vs San Diego?
- Austin's reported absences and doubts include M. Uzuni, Guilherme Biro, P. Placheta, O. Wolff and 5 others. San Diego's include dos Santos CJ, S. Vines, A. Mighten, Gabriel Pirani and 10 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Austin vs San Diego?
- Austin line up in a 3-4-3, San Diego in a 3-4-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.