Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

CharlottevChicago Fire

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0 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Charlotte a 43% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

CharlotteModel pendingMarket 43%
Charlotte:, no forecast published, market 43%

2Market

Open: 45% home · 24% draw · 31% away

Now: 43% home · 24% draw · 33% away

Moved −2pp — the market moved away from Charlotte

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs43%
Draw—vs24%
Away—vs33%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs68%
Under 2.5—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs88%
Under 1.5—vs12%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs46%
Under 3.5—vs54%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs68%
No—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Charlotte

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • A. Johnson — out (International duty)
  • D. Schnegg — out (Yellow Cards)
  • A. Westwood — out (Red Card)
  • N. Berchimas — out (Foot Injury)
  • H. Kessler — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • I. Toklomati — out (International duty)
  • R. Aloko — out (International duty)
  • L. Abada — out (International duty)

Chicago Fire

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • R. Lod — out (International duty)
  • A. Saletros — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • J. Bamba — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • S. Oregel — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • C. Mueller — out (Inactive)
  • L. Barroso — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • H. Cuypers — out (Head Injury)
  • V. Radojevic — doubtful (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Franco — out (Knee Injury)
  • A. Mekvabishvili — out (International duty)
  • R. Lewandowski — out (International duty)
  • P. Dithejane — out (International duty)
  • C. Brady — out (International duty)
  • N. Allen — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

CharlotteWDWDW

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v DC United 2–1(xG 0.9–2.9)
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v FC Cincinnati 3–3
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v CF Montreal 2–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Houston Dynamo 0–0
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Atlanta United FC 2–0(xG 1.6–0.9)

Chicago FireLLDDD

  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Nashville SC 0–3(xG 1.0–2.1)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v New England Revolution 1–2
  • Thu 10 Sep · H v Inter Miami 1–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Toronto FC 4–4
  • Sat 29 Aug · A v Seattle Sounders 2–2(xG 2.0–0.9)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Charlotte
  • Charlotte have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Charlotte have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Charlotte's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of Charlotte's last 5.
  • Charlotte kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Chicago Fire have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Chicago Fire's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Chicago Fire's last 5.
  • Chicago Fire kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Charlotte W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte

7Context

Charlotte

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Chicago Fire

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte · Referee: Christopher Penso

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?
Charlotte's reported absences and doubts include A. Johnson, D. Schnegg, A. Westwood, N. Berchimas and 4 others. Chicago Fire's include R. Lod, A. Saletros, J. Bamba, S. Oregel and 10 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?
Charlotte line up in a 4-2-3-1, Chicago Fire in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.