Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Chicago FirevPhiladelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union·
1 – 3 (90')
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Chicago Fire a 39% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 39% home · 24% draw · 37% away
Now: 39% home · 24% draw · 37% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Chicago Fire
Confirmed · 4-3-3
- R. Lod — out (International duty)
- A. Saletros — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- J. Bamba — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- S. Oregel — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- C. Mueller — out (Inactive)
- L. Barroso — out (Lower-Body Injury)
- H. Cuypers — out (Head Injury)
- V. Radojevic — doubtful (Lower-Body Injury)
- A. Franco — out (Knee Injury)
- A. Mekvabishvili — out (International duty)
- R. Lewandowski — out (International duty)
- P. Dithejane — out (International duty)
- C. Brady — out (International duty)
- N. Allen — out (International duty)
Philadelphia Union
Confirmed · 4-4-2
- F. Westfield — out (International duty)
- D. Jean Jacques — out (International duty)
- A. Blake — out (International duty)
- E. Davis III — out (Injury)
- J. Sery Larsen — out (Shoulder Injury)
- O. Makhanya — out (Yellow Cards)
- E. Alladoh — out (Personal Reasons)
- C. Sullivan — out (International duty)
- N. Pierre — out (International duty)
- P. Ndinga — out (Hamstring Injury)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Chicago FireWWLLD
- Wed 7 Oct · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1
- Sat 26 Sep · A v Charlotte 1–0
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Nashville SC 0–3(xG 1.0–2.1)
- Sun 13 Sep · H v New England Revolution 1–2
- Thu 10 Sep · H v Inter Miami 1–1
Philadelphia UnionWWWWW
- Sat 26 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 4–2
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Sporting Kansas City 4–3(xG 0.7–1.0)
- Mon 14 Sep · A v San Diego 5–0
- Wed 9 Sep · H v FC Cincinnati 5–0
- Sat 5 Sep · H v CF Montreal 2–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Chicago Fire have won 2 of their last 5.
- Chicago Fire have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Chicago Fire's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Chicago Fire's last 5.
- Chicago Fire kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.
- Philadelphia Union have won 5 of their last 5.
- Philadelphia Union have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Philadelphia Union's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Philadelphia Union's last 5.
- Philadelphia Union kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Chicago Fire W–D–L
- 1–0–0
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire
7Context
Chicago Fire
Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d
Philadelphia Union
Rest: 18 days · 1 match in 14d
Soldier Field, Chicago · Referee: Ricardo Fierro
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Chicago Fire's reported absences and doubts include R. Lod, A. Saletros, J. Bamba, S. Oregel and 10 others. Philadelphia Union's include F. Westfield, D. Jean Jacques, A. Blake, E. Davis III and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Chicago Fire line up in a 4-3-3, Philadelphia Union in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.