Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27
Philadelphia UnionvOrlando City SC
·
4 – 2 (FT)
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Philadelphia Union a 63% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 67% home · 18% draw · 15% away
Now: 63% home · 19% draw · 18% away
Moved −4pp — the market moved away from Philadelphia Union
Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Philadelphia Union
Confirmed · 4-4-2
- F. Westfield — out (International duty)
- D. Jean Jacques — out (International duty)
- A. Blake — out (International duty)
- E. Davis III — out (Injury)
- J. Sery Larsen — out (Shoulder Injury)
- O. Makhanya — out (Yellow Cards)
- E. Alladoh — out (Personal Reasons)
- C. Sullivan — out (International duty)
- N. Pierre — out (International duty)
- P. Ndinga — out (Hamstring Injury)
Orlando City SC
Confirmed · 4-4-2
- T. Spicer — out (International duty)
- M. Pasalic — out (International duty)
- W. Cartagena — out (International duty)
- D. Brekalo — out (International duty)
- A. Griezmann — out (Thigh Injury)
- G. Dorsey — out (Back Injury)
- E. Atuesta — out (Yellow Cards)
- A. Marin — out (Thigh Injury)
- C. Guske — out (International duty)
- D. McGuire — out (Leg Injury)
- J. Gerbet — out (Knee Injury)
- J. Ellis — out (International duty)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Philadelphia UnionWWWWW
- Sun 20 Sep · A v Sporting Kansas City 4–3(xG 0.7–1.0)
- Mon 14 Sep · A v San Diego 5–0
- Wed 9 Sep · H v FC Cincinnati 5–0
- Sat 5 Sep · H v CF Montreal 2–0
- Sat 29 Aug · A v New York Red Bulls 3–1(xG 2.5–2.0)
Orlando City SCLWWWD
- Sat 19 Sep · A v New England Revolution 2–4(xG 1.3–1.7)
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Toronto FC 3–0
- Wed 9 Sep · A v Atlanta United FC 3–2
- Sat 5 Sep · H v San Diego 1–0
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Minnesota United FC 3–3(xG 1.3–3.6)
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Philadelphia Union have won 5 of their last 5.
- Philadelphia Union have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Philadelphia Union's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Philadelphia Union's last 5.
- Philadelphia Union kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Orlando City SC have won 3 of their last 5.
- Orlando City SC have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Orlando City SC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Orlando City SC's last 5.
- Orlando City SC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Philadelphia Union W–D–L
- 0–0–1
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union
7Context
Philadelphia Union
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Orlando City SC
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia · Referee: Sergii Demianchuk
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
- Philadelphia Union's reported absences and doubts include F. Westfield, D. Jean Jacques, A. Blake, E. Davis III and 6 others. Orlando City SC's include T. Spicer, M. Pasalic, W. Cartagena, D. Brekalo and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
- Philadelphia Union line up in a 4-4-2, Orlando City SC in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.