Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Columbus CrewvInter Miami

·

2 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Inter Miami a 42% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Inter MiamiModel pendingMarket 42%
Inter Miami:, no forecast published, market 42%

2Market

Open: 34% home · 23% draw · 43% away

Now: 34% home · 24% draw · 42% away

Moved −1pp — the market moved away from Inter Miami

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 8 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs34%
Draw—vs24%
Away—vs42%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs68%
Under 2.5—vs32%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs87%
Under 1.5—vs13%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs46%
Under 3.5—vs54%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs69%
No—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Columbus Crew

Confirmed · 4-4-2

  • R. Camacho — out (Foot Injury)
  • J. Thiare — out (Leg Injury)
  • A. Gomes — out (Thigh Injury)
  • D. Chambost — out (Ankle Injury)
  • W. Abou Ali — out (Knee Injury)
  • M. Farsi — out (Hernia)
  • S. Bangoura — out (Ankle Injury)
  • L. Giaccone — doubtful (Injury)
  • G. Tapia — out (International duty)
  • S. Moreira — out (International duty)
  • N. Hagen — out (International duty)

Inter Miami

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • T. Segovia — out (Muscle Injury)
  • I. Fray — out (Injury)
  • G. Berterame — out (International duty)
  • M. Silvetti — out (Injury)
  • S. Morales — out (Muscle Injury)
  • G. Lujan — out (Leg Injury)
  • R. de Paul — out (Rest)
  • S. Reguilon — out (Injury)
  • M. Falcon — out (Calf Injury)
  • D. Ayala — out (Muscle Injury)
  • T. Allende — out (Knee Injury)
  • D. St.Clair — out (International duty)
  • D. Pinter — out (International duty)
  • M. Galarza — out (International duty)
  • L. Delinois — out (International duty)
  • F. Caicedo — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Columbus CrewWLLWL

  • Sat 19 Sep · A v CF Montreal 2–0(xG 0.9–0.5)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v New York Red Bulls 0–1
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v DC United 1–2
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Colorado Rapids 3–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v New England Revolution 1–3(xG 0.4–1.4)

Inter MiamiDDDDW

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v San Diego 2–2(xG 1.5–1.8)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Nashville SC 2–2
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v Chicago Fire 1–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Atlanta United FC 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v CF Montreal 7–1(xG 3.0–0.9)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Columbus Crew
  • Columbus Crew have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Columbus Crew have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Columbus Crew's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Columbus Crew's last 5.
  • Columbus Crew kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Inter Miami
  • Inter Miami have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Inter Miami have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Inter Miami's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Inter Miami's last 5.
  • Inter Miami kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Columbus Crew W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus Crew

7Context

Columbus Crew

Rest: 8 days · 1 match in 14d

Inter Miami

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus · Referee: Victor Rivas

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
Columbus Crew's reported absences and doubts include R. Camacho, J. Thiare, A. Gomes, D. Chambost and 7 others. Inter Miami's include T. Segovia, I. Fray, G. Berterame, M. Silvetti and 12 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
Columbus Crew line up in a 4-4-2, Inter Miami in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.