Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29

FC CincinnativNew England Revolution

·

2 – 3 (90')

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives FC Cincinnati a 52% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

FC CincinnatiModel pendingMarket 52%
FC Cincinnati:, no forecast published, market 52%

2Market

Open: 52% home · 23% draw · 26% away

Now: 52% home · 23% draw · 26% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs52%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs26%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs70%
Under 2.5—vs30%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs88%
Under 1.5—vs12%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs49%
Under 3.5—vs51%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs69%
No—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

FC Cincinnati

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • M. Robinson — out (International duty)
  • E. Echenique — out (Inactive)
  • K. Denkey — out (International duty)
  • A. Chirila — out (International duty)
  • O. Nwobodo — out (Red Card)
  • K. Fletcher — out (Knee Injury)
  • M. Miazga — out (Yellow Cards)
  • A. Powell — out (Leg Injury)
  • R. Celentano — out (Leg Injury)
  • P. Bucha — out (International duty)

New England Revolution

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • B. Raines — out (International duty)
  • P. Miller — out (International duty)
  • I. Feingold — out (International duty)
  • L. Langoni — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Harrison — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Farrell — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • M. Polster — out (Muscle Injury)
  • B. Ceballos — out (Thigh Injury)
  • L. Campana — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • D. Turgeman — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

FC CincinnatiLDDLL

  • Sat 26 Sep · A v CF Montreal 1–3
  • Sun 20 Sep · A v Houston Dynamo 2–2(xG 2.9–1.2)
  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Charlotte 3–3
  • Wed 9 Sep · A v Philadelphia Union 0–5
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Nashville SC 0–4(xG 1.9–1.8)

New England RevolutionLWWWL

  • Sun 27 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 0–3
  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 4–2(xG 1.7–1.3)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Chicago Fire 2–1
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v New York City FC 2–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

FC Cincinnati
  • FC Cincinnati have won 0 of their last 5.
  • FC Cincinnati have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 5 of FC Cincinnati's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of FC Cincinnati's last 5.
  • FC Cincinnati kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution have won 3 of their last 5.
  • New England Revolution have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 5 of New England Revolution's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of New England Revolution's last 5.
  • New England Revolution kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

FC Cincinnati W–D–L
0–0–1
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati

7Context

FC Cincinnati

Rest: 18 days · 1 match in 14d

New England Revolution

Rest: 18 days · 1 match in 14d

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati · Referee: Rubiel Vazquez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
FC Cincinnati's reported absences and doubts include M. Robinson, E. Echenique, K. Denkey, A. Chirila and 6 others. New England Revolution's include B. Raines, P. Miller, I. Feingold, L. Langoni and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.