Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

Real Salt LakevNew England Revolution

·

3 – 0 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Real Salt Lake a 44% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Real Salt LakeModel pendingMarket 44%
Real Salt Lake:, no forecast published, market 44%

2Market

Open: 41% home · 25% draw · 34% away

Now: 44% home · 25% draw · 31% away

Moved +3pp — the market moved towards Real Salt Lake

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 9 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs44%
Draw—vs25%
Away—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs62%
Under 2.5—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs83%
Under 1.5—vs17%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs39%
Under 3.5—vs61%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs64%
No—vs36%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Real Salt Lake

Confirmed · 3-4-3

  • D. Zagar — out (Inactive)
  • J. Sanabria — out (International duty)
  • L. Moisa — out (International duty)
  • S. Lobjanidze — out (International duty)
  • A. Katranis — out (Groin Injury)
  • D. Luna — out (Knee Injury)
  • L. Engel — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • J. J. Arias — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • M. Guilavogui — out (Knee Injury)
  • A. Hezarkhani — out (Toe Injury)
  • Z. Booth — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • D. Yedlin — out (Yellow Cards)
  • K. Henry — out (Muscle Injury)
  • L. De Fougerolles — out (International duty)

New England Revolution

Confirmed · 4-3-3

  • B. Raines — out (International duty)
  • P. Miller — out (International duty)
  • I. Feingold — out (International duty)
  • L. Langoni — out (Thigh Injury)
  • J. Harrison — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • A. Farrell — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • M. Polster — out (Muscle Injury)
  • B. Ceballos — out (Thigh Injury)
  • L. Campana — out (Hamstring Injury)
  • D. Turgeman — out (International duty)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Real Salt LakeLLLLD

  • Thu 24 Sep · A v Seattle Sounders 0–2(xG 0.4–0.9)
  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3(xG 1.2–2.2)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v New York City FC 0–2
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v Houston Dynamo 1–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 2–2

New England RevolutionWWWLW

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 4–2(xG 1.7–1.3)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Chicago Fire 2–1
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v New York City FC 2–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 1–2
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Columbus Crew 3–1(xG 1.4–0.4)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Real Salt Lake have scored in 2 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Real Salt Lake's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Real Salt Lake's last 5.
  • Real Salt Lake kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution have won 4 of their last 5.
  • New England Revolution have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 5 of New England Revolution's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of New England Revolution's last 5.
  • New England Revolution kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

No prior meetings on record.

7Context

Real Salt Lake

Rest: 3 days · 3 matches in 14d

New England Revolution

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy · Referee: Ricardo Fierro

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Real Salt Lake's reported absences and doubts include D. Zagar, J. Sanabria, L. Moisa, S. Lobjanidze and 10 others. New England Revolution's include B. Raines, P. Miller, I. Feingold, L. Langoni and 6 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution?
Real Salt Lake line up in a 3-4-3, New England Revolution in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.