Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC·
2 – 0 (90')
1Headline
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.
We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:
- • Market prices and price movement
- • Head-to-head record and recent form
- • Lineups and injuries where available
- • Venue, kickoff time, and context
Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.
For comparison, the market gives Inter Miami a 64% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.
2Market
Open: 64% home · 18% draw · 17% away
Now: 64% home · 18% draw · 17% away
Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Inter Miami
Lineup not yet confirmed
- T. Segovia — out (Muscle Injury)
- I. Fray — out (Injury)
- G. Berterame — out (International duty)
- M. Silvetti — out (Injury)
- S. Morales — out (Muscle Injury)
- G. Lujan — out (Leg Injury)
- R. de Paul — out (Rest)
- S. Reguilon — out (Injury)
- M. Falcon — out (Calf Injury)
- D. Ayala — out (Muscle Injury)
- T. Allende — out (Knee Injury)
- D. St.Clair — out (International duty)
- D. Pinter — out (International duty)
- M. Galarza — out (International duty)
- L. Delinois — out (International duty)
- F. Caicedo — out (International duty)
New York City FC
Lineup not yet confirmed
- A. O'Neill — out (International duty)
- T. Gray — out (International duty)
- K. Parks — out (Injury)
- Talles Magno — out (Muscle Injury)
- K. Trewin — out (Ankle Injury)
- M. Ilenic — out (International duty)
- M. Freese — out (International duty)
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Inter MiamiLDDDD
- Sun 27 Sep · A v Columbus Crew 1–2
- Sun 20 Sep · H v San Diego 2–2(xG 1.5–1.8)
- Sat 12 Sep · H v Nashville SC 2–2
- Thu 10 Sep · A v Chicago Fire 1–1
- Sat 5 Sep · H v Atlanta United FC 2–2
New York City FCDLWLD
- Sat 26 Sep · A v Atlanta United FC 2–2
- Fri 18 Sep · H v New York Red Bulls 0–1(xG 2.3–1.4)
- Sun 13 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 2–0
- Thu 10 Sep · H v New England Revolution 1–2
- Fri 4 Sep · H v Nashville SC 0–0
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Inter Miami have won 0 of their last 5.
- Inter Miami have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 4 of Inter Miami's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Inter Miami's last 5.
- Inter Miami kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
- New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5.
- New York City FC have scored in 3 of their last 5.
- 2 of New York City FC's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of New York City FC's last 5.
- New York City FC kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.
- Inter Miami W–D–L
- 1–0–0
- Over 2.5
- 1 of 1
- Both scored
- 1 of 1
- New York City FC 2–3 Inter Miami
7Context
Inter Miami
Rest: 17 days · 1 match in 14d
New York City FC
Rest: 18 days · 0 matches in 14d
Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale · Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- What is the team news for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
- Inter Miami's reported absences and doubts include T. Segovia, I. Fray, G. Berterame, M. Silvetti and 12 others. New York City FC's include A. O'Neill, T. Gray, K. Parks, Talles Magno and 3 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.