Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

San Jose EarthquakesvPortland Timbers

·

3 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives San Jose Earthquakes a 49% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

San Jose EarthquakesModel pendingMarket 49%
San Jose Earthquakes:, no forecast published, market 49%

2Market

Open: 47% home · 24% draw · 29% away

Now: 49% home · 23% draw · 28% away

Moved +2pp — the market moved towards San Jose Earthquakes

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 10 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs49%
Draw—vs23%
Away—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs72%
Under 2.5—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs90%
Under 1.5—vs10%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs51%
Under 3.5—vs49%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs72%
No—vs28%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

San Jose Earthquakes

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • R. Vieira — out (International duty)
  • P. Judd — out (Injury)
  • T. Werner — out (Injury)
  • D. Johnson — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • E. Edwards — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • N. Tsakiris — out (Groin Injury)
  • A. Gunn — out (International duty)
  • O. Bouda — out (International duty)

Portland Timbers

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

  • Z. McGraw — out (Inactive)
  • O. Fernandez — out (Lower-Body Injury)
  • D. Da Costa — out (Concussion)
  • V. Janssen — out (Red Card)
  • D. Chara — out (Thigh Injury)
  • A. Bonetig — out (Upper Back Injury)
  • J. Mosquera — out (Foot Injury)
  • J. Caicedo — out (Thigh Injury)
  • C. Bassett — out (Injury)
  • A. Aravena — out (Hip Injury)
  • J. Waterman — out (Yellow Cards)
  • F. Surman — out (Knee Injury)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

San Jose EarthquakesDWWDD

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 2–2(xG 1.1–0.4)
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Houston Dynamo 1–0
  • Thu 10 Sep · A v San Diego 3–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Austin 1–1
  • Sun 30 Aug · A v Houston Dynamo 0–0(xG 1.3–0.7)

Portland TimbersLLDWL

  • Sun 20 Sep · H v Atlanta United FC 0–1(xG 1.5–0.7)
  • Sun 13 Sep · A v FC Dallas 1–2
  • Thu 10 Sep · H v St. Louis City 2–2
  • Sun 6 Sep · H v Minnesota United FC 5–4
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Austin 1–2(xG 2.0–1.2)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes have won 2 of their last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 2 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 5.
  • San Jose Earthquakes kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
Portland Timbers
  • Portland Timbers have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Portland Timbers have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Portland Timbers's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Portland Timbers's last 5.
  • Portland Timbers kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

San Jose Earthquakes W–D–L
1–0–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes

7Context

San Jose Earthquakes

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Portland Timbers

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Avaya Stadium, San Jose · Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez

8Red flags

Common questions

What is the team news for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
San Jose Earthquakes's reported absences and doubts include R. Vieira, P. Judd, T. Werner, D. Johnson and 4 others. Portland Timbers's include Z. McGraw, O. Fernandez, D. Da Costa, V. Janssen and 8 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What are the confirmed lineups for San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
San Jose Earthquakes line up in a 4-2-3-1, Portland Timbers in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.