Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 7
Club Brugge KVvGenk
Club Brugge KV
Genk·
3 – 0 (FT)
1Headline
We expect
2–12.2–1.2 goals
Likeliest exact score 2–1 (10%), then 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Club Brugge KV and Genk finish on some other score 73% of the time.
| Clu / Gen | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Percentage chance of each exact scoreline, Club Brugge KV down the side and Genk across. These 97.3% cover every result up to 5 goals a side; the remaining 2.7% is spread across higher scores.
Every other number on this page is a sum of this grid — the match result is the cells either side of the diagonal, over 2.5 is everything totalling three or more. We publish calibration for those sums, not for individual scorelines: no gate has ever graded our chance of exactly 2–1, so read a single cell as the shape of the forecast rather than a number we stand behind.
How many goals
Our forecast at each line, against the price at the same line.
What we think
- Club Brugge KV60% · Match result
- Over 2.562% · Goals
- Yes60% · Both teams to score
Recommended bet: none on this match
We hold no prices for this match yet, so there has been nothing to weigh. The research below stands on its own.
Our forecast makes Club Brugge KV the most likely of the three results, at 60% (we would not be surprised by anything from 52% to 69%). Most likely is not likely: at 60% this result does not happen 40% of the time.
Verify this forecast → Published Sun 13 Sep, sealed in our append-only record — we can't change it now.
On goals, we make three or more more likely than not at 62%, with no price captured for it yet.
No market data captured yet for this fixture.
2Market
No odds captured yet.
Match result
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 2.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 1.5
■ ours · ■ market
Goals over 3.5
■ ours · ■ market
Both teams to score
■ ours · ■ market
Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.
3Availability
Club Brugge KV
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
Genk
Confirmed · 4-2-3-1
No reported absences.
4Form
The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.
Club Brugge KVWWLWW
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Antwerp 3–1
- Fri 4 Sep · A v Lommel United 1–0
- Sun 30 Aug · A v Gent 1–2(xG 0.7–1.4)
- Sun 23 Aug · H v Cercle Brugge 1–0
- Sat 15 Aug · A v OH Leuven 3–0
GenkDDWDW
- Sun 13 Sep · H v Gent 1–1
- Sun 6 Sep · A v Anderlecht 0–0
- Fri 28 Aug · H v SK Beveren 4–0(xG 3.1–0.6)
- Sat 22 Aug · A v Antwerp 4–4
- Sat 15 Aug · H v KVC Westerlo 3–2
5Trends
How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.
- Club Brugge KV have won 4 of their last 5.
- Club Brugge KV have scored in 5 of their last 5.
- 3 of Club Brugge KV's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Club Brugge KV's last 5.
- Club Brugge KV kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
- Genk have won 2 of their last 5.
- Genk have scored in 4 of their last 5.
- 3 of Genk's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Genk's last 5.
- Genk kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.
6Head-to-head
No prior meetings on record.
7Context
Club Brugge KV
Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d
Genk
Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges · Referee: L. Visser
8Red flags
Thin head-to-head
These teams have met fewer than six times on record.
Common questions
- Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
- Our model makes Club Brugge KV the most likely result at 60%. Most likely is not likely — at 60% it does not happen 40% of the time.
- How many goals are expected in Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
- Our model puts the chance of three or more goals (over 2.5) at 62%, and under 2.5 at 38%.
- Will both teams score in Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
- Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance, against 40% that at least one side is kept out.
- What are the confirmed lineups for Club Brugge KV vs Genk?
- Club Brugge KV line up in a 4-2-3-1, Genk in a 4-2-3-1. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.