Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 10

Racing ClubvSarmiento Junin

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3 – 1 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Racing Club a 54% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Racing ClubModel pendingMarket 54%
Racing Club:, no forecast published, market 54%

2Market

Open: 59% home · 25% draw · 16% away

Now: 54% home · 27% draw · 20% away

Moved −5pp — the market moved away from Racing Club

How the devigged price moved before kick-off

Solid: the market over 5 captures. Dashed: our forecast, which does not move. Scaled 0–100%, so a line that looks flat is a price that barely moved rather than one we stopped watching.

Match result

Home—vs54%
Draw—vs27%
Away—vs20%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs43%
Under 2.5—vs57%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs71%
Under 1.5—vs29%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs22%
Under 3.5—vs78%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs47%
No—vs53%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Racing Club

Confirmed · 4-4-2

No reported absences.

Sarmiento Junin

Confirmed · 4-4-2

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Racing ClubLLLDL

  • Mon 14 Sep · A v Huracan 1–2
  • Mon 7 Sep · H v Atletico Tucuman 1–2
  • Mon 31 Aug · A v Independ. Rivadavia 1–3
  • Mon 24 Aug · H v Boca Juniors 1–1
  • Fri 14 Aug · H v Banfield 0–1

Sarmiento JuninDWLWW

  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Belgrano Cordoba 1–1
  • Fri 4 Sep · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–0
  • Fri 28 Aug · A v Union Santa Fe 1–4(xG 0.5–1.3)
  • Sun 23 Aug · H v Estudiantes L.P. 2–0
  • Sun 16 Aug · H v Huracan 2–0

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Racing Club
  • Racing Club have won 0 of their last 5.
  • Racing Club have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 3 of Racing Club's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Racing Club's last 5.
  • Racing Club kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Sarmiento Junin
  • Sarmiento Junin have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Sarmiento Junin have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Sarmiento Junin's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Sarmiento Junin's last 5.
  • Sarmiento Junin kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Racing Club W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
0 of 1
  • Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Racing Club

7Context

Racing Club

Rest: 5 days · 2 matches in 14d

Sarmiento Junin

Rest: 5 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Presidente Perón, Avellaneda · Referee: L. Rey Hilfer

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?
Racing Club line up in a 4-4-2, Sarmiento Junin in a 4-4-2. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.