Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 10

Union Santa FevIndependiente

·

1 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Union Santa Fe a 38% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Union Santa FeModel pendingMarket 38%
Union Santa Fe:, no forecast published, market 38%

2Market

Open: 38% home · 31% draw · 31% away

Now: 38% home · 31% draw · 31% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs38%
Draw—vs31%
Away—vs31%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs39%
Under 2.5—vs61%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs66%
Under 1.5—vs34%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs19%
Under 3.5—vs81%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs47%
No—vs53%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Union Santa Fe

Confirmed · 4-2-3-1

No reported absences.

Independiente

Confirmed · 4-3-3

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

Union Santa FeLWWWL

  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Talleres Cordoba 1–2
  • Tue 8 Sep · H v Instituto Cordoba 3–2
  • Fri 28 Aug · H v Sarmiento Junin 4–1(xG 1.3–0.5)
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Aldosivi 3–1
  • Sat 15 Aug · A v San Lorenzo 0–1

IndependienteDWLDW

  • Sun 13 Sep · H v San Lorenzo 1–1
  • Sun 6 Sep · A v Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Gimnasia M. 0–3(xG 0.9–0.7)
  • Sat 22 Aug · H v Independ. Rivadavia 0–0
  • Mon 17 Aug · A v Lanus 3–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Union Santa Fe
  • Union Santa Fe have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Union Santa Fe have scored in 4 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Union Santa Fe's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Union Santa Fe's last 5.
  • Union Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Independiente
  • Independiente have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Independiente have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Independiente's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Independiente's last 5.
  • Independiente kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

Union Santa Fe W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
1 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Independiente 4–4 Union Santa Fe

7Context

Union Santa Fe

Rest: 7 days · 2 matches in 14d

Independiente

Rest: 6 days · 2 matches in 14d

Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe · Referee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?
Union Santa Fe line up in a 4-2-3-1, Independiente in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.