La Liga · Regular Season - 8

ElchevCelta Vigo

·

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Celta Vigo a 38% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Celta VigoModel pendingMarket 38%
Celta Vigo:, no forecast published, market 38%

2Market

Open: 33% home · 29% draw · 38% away

Now: 33% home · 29% draw · 38% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs33%
Draw—vs29%
Away—vs38%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs47%
Under 2.5—vs53%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs73%
Under 1.5—vs27%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs26%
Under 3.5—vs74%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs54%
No—vs46%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

Elche

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • A. Boayar — out (Muscle Injury)
  • T. Lemar — doubtful (Coach's decision)
  • Y. Santiago — out (Knee Injury)
  • A. Osorio — out (Muscle Injury)
  • G. Diangana — out (Knee Injury)

Celta Vigo

Lineup not yet confirmed

  • B. Iglesias — out (Injury)
  • I. Aspas — out (Muscle Injury)
  • J. El Abdellaoui — out (Knee Injury)
  • A. Antanon — out (Ankle Injury)
  • A. Febas — out (Ribs Injury)
  • M. Vecino — out (Knee Injury)
  • C. Perez — out (Inactive)
  • M. Alonso — out (Red Card)

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

ElcheWLDLL

  • Fri 18 Sep · A v Espanyol 3–1
  • Tue 15 Sep · H v Real Madrid 2–3
  • Sat 12 Sep · A v Athletic Club 1–1
  • Mon 7 Sep · H v Real Sociedad 2–3
  • Fri 28 Aug · A v Racing Santander 2–3(xG 1.1–1.5)

Celta VigoWDDDL

  • Sat 19 Sep · H v Racing Santander 5–0
  • Sun 13 Sep · H v Malaga 1–1
  • Mon 7 Sep · A v Getafe 1–1
  • Thu 3 Sep · A v Real Sociedad 0–0
  • Sun 30 Aug · H v Athletic Club 0–2(xG 0.6–2.6)

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

Elche
  • Elche have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Elche have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 4 of Elche's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Elche's last 5.
  • Elche kept a clean sheet in 0 of their last 5.
Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Celta Vigo have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 1 of Celta Vigo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Celta Vigo's last 5.
  • Celta Vigo kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

In their last 6 meetings, Elche have won 2, Celta Vigo 4, with 0 drawn.

Elche W–D–L
2–0–4
Over 2.5
2 of 6
Both scored
2 of 6
  • Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche
  • Elche 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • Elche 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • Elche 1–0 Celta Vigo

7Context

Elche

Rest: 23 days · 0 matches in 14d

Celta Vigo

Rest: 22 days · 0 matches in 14d

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

8Red flags

No flags raised for this fixture right now.

Common questions

What is the team news for Elche vs Celta Vigo?
Elche's reported absences and doubts include A. Boayar, T. Lemar, Y. Santiago, A. Osorio and 1 other. Celta Vigo's include B. Iglesias, I. Aspas, J. El Abdellaoui, A. Antanon and 4 others. Each player's status is in the availability section above.
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Celta Vigo?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche have won 2, Celta Vigo 4, with 0 drawn. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of those 6 meetings, and both teams scored in 2.