Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 10

San LorenzovBoca Juniors

·

0 – 2 (FT)

1Headline

Recommended bet: none on this match

We hold prices on this match — the market's own numbers are below — but we have published no forecast of our own for these markets yet, so there is nothing to weigh them against.

We don't have a model forecast for this match yet. Forecasts publish once a fixture is in the model's fitting window — usually a few days before kick-off. Here's what we do have right now:

  • • Market prices and price movement
  • • Head-to-head record and recent form
  • • Lineups and injuries where available
  • • Venue, kickoff time, and context

Check back closer to kick-off for our forecast, or explore matches we've already analyzed below.

For comparison, the market gives Boca Juniors a 47% chance. No model forecast has been published for this fixture.

Boca JuniorsModel pendingMarket 47%
Boca Juniors:, no forecast published, market 47%

2Market

Open: 21% home · 32% draw · 47% away

Now: 21% home · 32% draw · 47% away

Only one price captured so far — drift needs at least two.

Match result

Home—vs21%
Draw—vs32%
Away—vs47%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 2.5

Over 2.5—vs32%
Under 2.5—vs68%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 1.5

Over 1.5—vs61%
Under 1.5—vs39%

■ ours · ■ market

Goals over 3.5

Over 3.5—vs14%
Under 3.5—vs86%

■ ours · ■ market

Both teams to score

Yes—vs42%
No—vs58%

■ ours · ■ market

Gap is our probability minus the market's. A large one means we disagree with the price, not that we are right — whether we have been is published per market on the accuracy page. A market with no price is one we hold no odds for yet.

3Availability

San Lorenzo

Confirmed · 4-4-2

No reported absences.

Boca Juniors

Confirmed · 4-3-3

No reported absences.

4Form

The five matches each side played before this one, with expected goals where we have them. xG is shown as absent rather than zero when it was never measured — matches played before we began collecting statistics have none.

San LorenzoDWLDW

  • Sun 13 Sep · A v Independiente 1–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · H v Talleres Cordoba 1–0
  • Tue 1 Sep · A v Instituto Cordoba 0–1(xG 0.3–1.6)
  • Fri 21 Aug · A v Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–0
  • Sat 15 Aug · H v Union Santa Fe 1–0

Boca JuniorsWDWDD

  • Sat 12 Sep · H v Central Cordoba de Santiago 3–1
  • Sat 5 Sep · A v Gimnasia M. 2–2
  • Sat 29 Aug · H v Lanus 1–0(xG 1.2–0.9)
  • Mon 24 Aug · A v Racing Club 1–1
  • Sun 16 Aug · A v Platense 1–1

How each side has been going — every figure is out of the games actually played, not a run chosen to flatter. How the two have met is in the head-to-head below.

San Lorenzo
  • San Lorenzo have won 2 of their last 5.
  • San Lorenzo have scored in 3 of their last 5.
  • 0 of San Lorenzo's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of San Lorenzo's last 5.
  • San Lorenzo kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Boca Juniors
  • Boca Juniors have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Boca Juniors have scored in 5 of their last 5.
  • 2 of Boca Juniors's last 5 went over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of Boca Juniors's last 5.
  • Boca Juniors kept a clean sheet in 1 of their last 5.

6Head-to-head

Only 1 prior meeting on record — thin sample.

San Lorenzo W–D–L
0–1–0
Over 2.5
0 of 1
Both scored
1 of 1
  • Boca Juniors 1–1 San Lorenzo

7Context

San Lorenzo

Rest: 7 days · 1 match in 14d

Boca Juniors

Rest: 9 days · 1 match in 14d

Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires · Referee: Nazareno Arasa, Argentina

8Red flags

Common questions

What are the confirmed lineups for San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors?
San Lorenzo line up in a 4-4-2, Boca Juniors in a 4-3-3. The full starting elevens and substitutes are in the availability section.