Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1234 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | Le Mans vLens | 26% / 27% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · draw | 1eb632e4485e… |
| 1233 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | Casa Pia vFC Porto | 10% / 21% / 68% | our call landedwe called away 68% · away win | abb7821bbdd4… |
| 1232 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | Famalicao vSporting CP | 19% / 25% / 57% | our call did not landwe called away 57% · draw | 58116a2e3214… |
| 1231 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Arouca vSanta Clara | 38% / 30% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | a18db44a9eb6… |
| 1230 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Academico Viseu vVitória SC | 44% / 28% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | aab2827ce978… |
| 1229 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Rio Ave vEstrela | 43% / 28% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 335597c2d9e5… |
| 1228 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Nacional vAlverca | 39% / 29% / 33% | our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win | 447fd7bfe195… |
| 1227 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | SC Braga vEstoril | 68% / 18% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 3da2ba08d752… |
| 1226 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Moreirense vMaritimo | 45% / 29% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 45% · home win | e5a1c15f10b8… |
| 1225 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Benfica vGIL Vicente | 73% / 18% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 73% · home win | a657cdcc6f7e… |
| 1224 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | PEC Zwolle vFeyenoord | 17% / 21% / 62% | our call landedwe called away 62% · away win | bb8247435036… |
| 1223 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Levante vBarcelona | 18% / 19% / 63% | our call landedwe called away 63% · away win | e79a6a26924a… |
| 1222 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Genk vGent | 48% / 25% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | de6472dffe1f… |
| 1221 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | RB Leipzig vHamburger SV | 68% / 19% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 7ed5e60f03e4… |
| 1220 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Lille vEstac Troyes | 71% / 19% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 71% · home win | ee094f4ec1ae… |
| 1219 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Lecce vMonza | 35% / 32% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 35% · home win | 4dc12e4eb71f… |
| 1218 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Coventry vBrighton | 23% / 24% / 54% | our call landedwe called away 54% · away win | c560858ba318… |
| 1217 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Heerenveen vTelstar | 51% / 23% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 51% · draw | 12758e2b304d… |
| 1216 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Celta Vigo vMalaga | 48% / 27% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | 190861236b3b… |
| 1215 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Club Brugge KV vAntwerp | 66% / 19% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 66% · home win | eeb02c310dd9… |
| 1214 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Sheffield Utd vWolves | 38% / 27% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | be23bb7152cb… |
| 1213 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Excelsior vUtrecht | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | 93f980771e8f… |
| 1212 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Cruz Azul vClub America | 44% / 29% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 2a2e0f1666a3… |
| 1211 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Los Angeles Galaxy vSeattle Sounders | 38% / 26% / 37% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · draw | 47688ccc0ddc… |
| 1210 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | San Jose Earthquakes vHouston Dynamo | 49% / 24% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 49% · home win | 4e9d6c0f4fb4… |
| 1209 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Colorado Rapids vCF Montreal | 55% / 23% / 22% | our call landedwe called home 55% · home win | 9fda9f1ce19c… |
| 1208 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Real Salt Lake vNew York City FC | 40% / 27% / 33% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | 7635e22349c1… |
| 1207 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Monterrey vTigres UANL | 32% / 29% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · draw | 12a4fbff957e… |
| 1206 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Toluca vAtlas | 66% / 22% / 12% | our call landedwe called home 66% · home win | 9588421c9168… |
| 1205 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | St. Louis City vMinnesota United FC | 46% / 26% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 46% · home win | 9487f4c14437… |
| 1204 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Sporting Kansas City vLos Angeles FC | 18% / 20% / 62% | our call did not landwe called away 62% · home win | 5e3708354820… |
| 1203 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | FC Dallas vPortland Timbers | 53% / 23% / 24% | our call landedwe called home 53% · home win | 5e74da8dbb73… |
| 1202 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Santos vCruzeiro | 35% / 30% / 35% | our call did not landwe called away 35% · home win | e036894104a1… |
| 1201 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Inter Miami vNashville SC | 54% / 21% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 54% · draw | 81aeffe9d4df… |
| 1200 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | FC Cincinnati vCharlotte | 49% / 23% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 49% · draw | cefbcfe9c5b3… |
| 1199 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | DC United vAtlanta United FC | 43% / 27% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 1d2761f9e2bb… |
| 1198 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Columbus Crew vNew York Red Bulls | 57% / 23% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | bc8c3a37a516… |
| 1197 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Orlando City SC vToronto FC | 57% / 22% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 57% · home win | 0ff3cb072476… |
| 1196 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Botafogo vRB Bragantino | 58% / 24% / 18% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · draw | 7c7031fe3d78… |
| 1195 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Leon vAtletico San Luis | 37% / 28% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 37% · home win | ea502678b7a1… |
| 1194 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Palmeiras vSao Paulo | 62% / 23% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 4f40ef524d8f… |
| 1193 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Chapecoense-sc vInternacional | 22% / 26% / 52% | our call landedwe called away 52% · away win | 349f8dc2045b… |
| 1192 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Atletico-MG vFluminense | 42% / 30% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | 35370aa3ca20… |
| 1191 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Gremio vVasco DA Gama | 53% / 24% / 23% | our call did not landwe called home 53% · away win | 7aaa9cbfc56c… |
| 1190 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Cambuur vNEC Nijmegen | 14% / 19% / 67% | our call did not landwe called away 67% · home win | 386088766a6b… |
| 1189 | 2026-09-04 05:06 | Real Madrid vRayo Vallecano | 70% / 19% / 11% | our call landedwe called home 70% · home win | bb9bc674d6b2… |
| 1188 | 2026-09-04 05:05 | Sunderland vArsenal | 12% / 23% / 65% | our call landedwe called away 65% · away win | 1f4798533f76… |
| 1187 | 2026-09-04 05:05 | Union St. Gilloise vLommel United | 63% / 25% / 11% | our call landedwe called home 63% · home win | 9c7a03e40b30… |
| 1186 | 2026-09-04 05:05 | OH Leuven vCercle Brugge | 36% / 26% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · draw | 08074f5c3e15… |
| 1185 | 2026-09-04 05:05 | Paris FC vLyon | 34% / 25% / 41% | our call did not landwe called away 41% · draw | f390d809dcb7… |
Le Mans v
Lens
Casa Pia v
FC Porto
Famalicao v
Sporting CP
Arouca v
Santa Clara
Academico Viseu v
Vitória SC
Rio Ave v
Estrela
Nacional v
Alverca
SC Braga v
Estoril
Moreirense v
Maritimo
Benfica v
GIL Vicente
PEC Zwolle v
Feyenoord
Levante v
Barcelona
Genk v
Gent
RB Leipzig v
Hamburger SV
Lille v
Estac Troyes
Lecce v
Monza
Coventry v
Brighton
Heerenveen v
Telstar
Celta Vigo v
Malaga
Club Brugge KV v
Antwerp
Sheffield Utd v
Wolves
Excelsior v
Utrecht
Cruz Azul v
Club America
Los Angeles Galaxy v
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes v
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids v
CF Montreal
Real Salt Lake v
New York City FC
Monterrey v
Tigres UANL
Toluca v
Atlas
St. Louis City v
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City v
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas v
Portland Timbers
Santos v
Cruzeiro
Inter Miami v
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati v
Charlotte
DC United v
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew v
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC v
Toronto FC
Botafogo v
RB Bragantino
Leon v
Atletico San Luis
Palmeiras v
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc v
Internacional
Atletico-MG v
Fluminense
Gremio v
Vasco DA Gama
Cambuur v
NEC Nijmegen
Real Madrid v
Rayo Vallecano
Sunderland v
Arsenal
Union St. Gilloise v
Lommel United
OH Leuven v
Cercle Brugge
Paris FC v
Lyon← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.