Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1434 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Torino vAS Roma | 25% / 28% / 47% | our call landedwe called away 47% · away win | c55427fcd08b… |
| 1433 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Guadalajara Chivas vU.N.A.M. - Pumas | 55% / 25% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 55% · home win | 350da99499e0… |
| 1432 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Santos Laguna vFC Juarez | 40% / 26% / 35% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | 7113f78b291d… |
| 1431 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | San Diego vPhiladelphia Union | 51% / 24% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 51% · away win | eb1dcf602a16… |
| 1430 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Vancouver Whitecaps vAustin | 73% / 17% / 10% | our call did not landwe called home 73% · away win | 022db606a104… |
| 1429 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Chicago Fire vNew England Revolution | 55% / 23% / 23% | our call did not landwe called home 55% · away win | 61cebafa7075… |
| 1428 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Flamengo vCorinthians | 62% / 23% / 15% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 28a8aba4fb0d… |
| 1427 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Famalicao vSporting CP | 19% / 25% / 57% | our call did not landwe called away 57% · draw | 48685a3dc651… |
| 1426 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Mirassol vVitoria | 60% / 23% / 17% | our call did not landwe called home 60% · draw | 841e43583e22… |
| 1425 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Real Sociedad vAtletico Madrid | 33% / 26% / 41% | our call landedwe called away 41% · away win | ae125d61eae5… |
| 1424 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Stade Brestois 29 vParis Saint Germain | 16% / 20% / 63% | our call landedwe called away 63% · away win | 7e9f0468501d… |
| 1423 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Sassuolo vJuventus | 20% / 24% / 56% | our call did not landwe called away 56% · home win | 90fec1651632… |
| 1422 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | PSV Eindhoven vSparta Rotterdam | 79% / 13% / 8% | our call landedwe called home 79% · home win | a2dc63e385b5… |
| 1421 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | RAAL La Louvière vKortrijk | 47% / 28% / 24% | our call landedwe called home 47% · home win | ced0f45f045a… |
| 1420 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Arouca vSanta Clara | 38% / 30% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 3d65beba935e… |
| 1419 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Benfica vGIL Vicente | 73% / 18% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 73% · home win | 4b9785cfc77d… |
| 1418 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Zulte Waregem vCharleroi | 38% / 25% / 37% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 77709b150a1c… |
| 1417 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Getafe vDeportivo La Coruna | 38% / 34% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · draw | c5f21e039aa4… |
| 1416 | 2026-09-12 11:07 | Napoli vBologna | 52% / 26% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | f03c34f50058… |
| 1415 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | SV Elversberg vBayern München | 13% / 21% / 66% | our call landedwe called away 66% · away win | 3d441f7111ec… |
| 1414 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Manchester United vManchester City | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | 1559f64159f4… |
| 1413 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Le Mans vLens | 26% / 27% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · draw | 641c4c5e1256… |
| 1412 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | PEC Zwolle vFeyenoord | 17% / 21% / 62% | our call landedwe called away 62% · away win | fe4a0212e03d… |
| 1411 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Levante vBarcelona | 18% / 19% / 63% | our call landedwe called away 63% · away win | 499257799c3c… |
| 1410 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Genk vGent | 48% / 25% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | 89cbaf2e8d4a… |
| 1409 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | RB Leipzig vHamburger SV | 68% / 19% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 36ea40c47df1… |
| 1408 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Lille vEstac Troyes | 71% / 19% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 71% · home win | 46592ca7becc… |
| 1407 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Lecce vMonza | 35% / 32% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 35% · home win | 8b4577740807… |
| 1406 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Coventry vBrighton | 23% / 24% / 54% | our call landedwe called away 54% · away win | 017d352c44e7… |
| 1405 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Heerenveen vTelstar | 51% / 23% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 51% · draw | 3a8e394f536e… |
| 1404 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Celta Vigo vMalaga | 48% / 27% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | 9bd3192bd11c… |
| 1403 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Club Brugge KV vAntwerp | 66% / 19% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 66% · home win | 19e48693c3a6… |
| 1402 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Sheffield Utd vWolves | 38% / 27% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 702a1889afd2… |
| 1401 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Excelsior vUtrecht | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | dedc31838d53… |
| 1400 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Cruz Azul vClub America | 44% / 29% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | c47bac08022c… |
| 1399 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Los Angeles Galaxy vSeattle Sounders | 38% / 26% / 37% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · draw | 0c63e2089816… |
| 1398 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | San Jose Earthquakes vHouston Dynamo | 49% / 24% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 49% · home win | e0ae6f04acb5… |
| 1397 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Colorado Rapids vCF Montreal | 55% / 23% / 22% | our call landedwe called home 55% · home win | 0470fa76346b… |
| 1396 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Real Salt Lake vNew York City FC | 40% / 27% / 33% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | e949fb3e5473… |
| 1395 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Monterrey vTigres UANL | 32% / 29% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · draw | 19d21831717d… |
| 1394 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | St. Louis City vMinnesota United FC | 46% / 26% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 46% · home win | 02c5d0d8e957… |
| 1393 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Sporting Kansas City vLos Angeles FC | 18% / 20% / 62% | our call did not landwe called away 62% · home win | f2244348314b… |
| 1392 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | FC Dallas vPortland Timbers | 53% / 23% / 24% | our call landedwe called home 53% · home win | ad86583f88ff… |
| 1391 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Santos vCruzeiro | 35% / 30% / 35% | our call did not landwe called away 35% · home win | a9b368e8cc64… |
| 1390 | 2026-09-12 11:06 | Inter Miami vNashville SC | 54% / 21% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 54% · draw | bf762a514b7a… |
| 1389 | 2026-09-12 11:05 | FC Cincinnati vCharlotte | 49% / 23% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 49% · draw | 0ad18f8c3767… |
| 1388 | 2026-09-12 11:05 | DC United vAtlanta United FC | 43% / 27% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 129bc46b99c6… |
| 1387 | 2026-09-12 11:05 | Columbus Crew vNew York Red Bulls | 57% / 23% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | abcbc6fde6e5… |
| 1386 | 2026-09-12 11:05 | Orlando City SC vToronto FC | 57% / 22% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 57% · home win | d740b74de09b… |
| 1385 | 2026-09-12 11:05 | Botafogo vRB Bragantino | 58% / 24% / 18% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · draw | e175718fb264… |
← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.