Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1284 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | FC Juarez vTigres UANL | 27% / 26% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win | 619501ba46c7… |
| 1283 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Puebla vAtlante FC | 19% / 25% / 57% | our call did not landwe called away 57% · draw | 803f10de2591… |
| 1282 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | New York City FC vNew York Red Bulls | 57% / 24% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | ec8c3c05fe1f… |
| 1281 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Bristol City vWatford | 43% / 28% / 29% | our call landedwe called home 43% · home win | ed66cab50d36… |
| 1280 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Espanyol vElche | 50% / 26% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 50% · away win | a2fbb5cc5a18… |
| 1279 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Brentford vChelsea | 44% / 24% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 92e948718fff… |
| 1278 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Gent vStandard Liege | 50% / 27% / 23% | our call landedwe called home 50% · home win | 7a9e666e623f… |
| 1277 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Monaco vLens | 39% / 24% / 37% | our call landedwe called home 39% · home win | 47b78efe51de… |
| 1276 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Monza vSassuolo | 35% / 27% / 37% | our call did not landwe called away 37% · home win | ee9c06e5c9b1… |
| 1275 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Bayern München vUnion Berlin | 81% / 12% / 7% | our call landedwe called home 81% · home win | f6002765a64d… |
| 1274 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Sparta Rotterdam vHeerenveen | 39% / 26% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win | e35953a27b17… |
| 1273 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Malaga vVillarreal | 33% / 26% / 40% | our call landedwe called away 40% · away win | c169d680919d… |
| 1272 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Real Betis vGetafe | 52% / 29% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | 78cdabc65dd8… |
| 1271 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Botafogo vGremio | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | 675b04c3beb8… |
| 1270 | 2026-09-09 20:07 | Levante vAthletic Club | 35% / 27% / 38% | not played | 77c69177600a… |
| 1269 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Barcelona vRacing Santander | 76% / 15% / 9% | our call landedwe called home 76% · home win | 7187433ca662… |
| 1268 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Deportivo La Coruna vSevilla | 46% / 28% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · away win | 857ed815cabb… |
| 1267 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Atletico Madrid vOsasuna | 62% / 22% / 16% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | a7da081de9a5… |
| 1266 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Elche vReal Madrid | 17% / 21% / 62% | our call landedwe called away 62% · away win | b91ea3732dee… |
| 1265 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Falkirk vHeart Of Midlothian | 26% / 29% / 45% | our call did not landwe called away 45% · home win | cb7a88f04516… |
| 1264 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Motherwell vAberdeen | 62% / 24% / 13% | our call did not landwe called home 62% · away win | 75b6ff8467ce… |
| 1263 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Hibernian vKilmarnock | 63% / 22% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 63% · away win | 71e96fa67182… |
| 1262 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Middlesbrough vMillwall | 50% / 27% / 22% | our call did not landwe called home 50% · draw | 1e923cbb4fea… |
| 1261 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Bristol City vLincoln | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | ebf9261d4c4a… |
| 1260 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Ajax vWillem II | 75% / 17% / 8% | our call landedwe called home 75% · home win | 1687d511cda4… |
| 1259 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Alaves vValencia | 40% / 29% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | 43392832a5ee… |
| 1258 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Rayo Vallecano vEspanyol | 48% / 27% / 25% | our call landedwe called home 48% · home win | 7236e92204ba… |
| 1257 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Bahia vRemo | 57% / 24% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 57% · home win | 5fb21e27e73d… |
| 1256 | 2026-09-09 20:06 | Villarreal vReal Betis | 52% / 24% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · away win | 045d59c269fa… |
| 1255 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | Leeds vNewcastle | 40% / 26% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | e5c1cce9c632… |
| 1254 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | Inter vUdinese | 72% / 17% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 72% · home win | bebb95e9f1d4… |
| 1253 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | Como vParma | 64% / 23% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 64% · home win | 475137b8b714… |
| 1252 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | Torino vAS Roma | 25% / 28% / 47% | our call landedwe called away 47% · away win | abfaaf066ea4… |
| 1251 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | Guadalajara Chivas vU.N.A.M. - Pumas | 55% / 25% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 55% · home win | 1acdadb997e5… |
| 1250 | 2026-09-09 20:05 | San Diego vPhiladelphia Union | 51% / 24% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 51% · away win | 86012ade2661… |
| 1249 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Santos Laguna vFC Juarez | 40% / 26% / 35% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | 3cd3282f9458… |
| 1248 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Vancouver Whitecaps vAustin | 73% / 17% / 10% | our call did not landwe called home 73% · away win | 28b3cbdfc861… |
| 1247 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Chicago Fire vNew England Revolution | 55% / 23% / 23% | our call did not landwe called home 55% · away win | 0d904ec7539a… |
| 1246 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Flamengo vCorinthians | 62% / 23% / 15% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | e88e21e637f5… |
| 1245 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Mirassol vVitoria | 60% / 23% / 17% | our call did not landwe called home 60% · draw | b51f83454adc… |
| 1244 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Real Sociedad vAtletico Madrid | 33% / 26% / 41% | our call landedwe called away 41% · away win | df2869dc4b2d… |
| 1243 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Stade Brestois 29 vParis Saint Germain | 16% / 20% / 63% | our call landedwe called away 63% · away win | 6e7aed74f5fd… |
| 1242 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Sassuolo vJuventus | 20% / 24% / 56% | our call did not landwe called away 56% · home win | 062f1cc4c836… |
| 1241 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | PSV Eindhoven vSparta Rotterdam | 79% / 13% / 8% | our call landedwe called home 79% · home win | 04fc8e08f943… |
| 1240 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | RAAL La Louvière vKortrijk | 47% / 28% / 24% | our call landedwe called home 47% · home win | 21a86995c53d… |
| 1239 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Zulte Waregem vCharleroi | 38% / 25% / 37% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 01fa1d43bd49… |
| 1238 | 2026-09-04 06:06 | Getafe vDeportivo La Coruna | 38% / 34% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · draw | 0aafd6ac28d4… |
| 1237 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | Napoli vBologna | 52% / 26% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | c59a865f2741… |
| 1236 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | SV Elversberg vBayern München | 13% / 21% / 66% | our call landedwe called away 66% · away win | 9c2299dea5db… |
| 1235 | 2026-09-04 06:05 | Manchester United vManchester City | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | f111d1633024… |
FC Juarez v
Tigres UANL
Puebla v
Atlante FC
New York City FC v
New York Red Bulls
Bristol City v
Watford
Espanyol v
Elche
Brentford v
Chelsea
Gent v
Standard Liege
Monaco v
Lens
Monza v
Sassuolo
Bayern München v
Union Berlin
Sparta Rotterdam v
Heerenveen
Malaga v
Villarreal
Real Betis v
Getafe
Botafogo v
Gremio
Levante v
Athletic Club
Barcelona v
Racing Santander
Deportivo La Coruna v
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid v
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Falkirk v
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell v
Aberdeen
Hibernian v
Kilmarnock
Middlesbrough v
Millwall
Lincoln
Ajax v
Willem II
Alaves v
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano v
Bahia v
Remo
Leeds v
Newcastle
Inter v
Udinese
Como v
Parma
Torino v
AS Roma
Guadalajara Chivas v
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
San Diego v
Philadelphia Union
Santos Laguna v
Vancouver Whitecaps v
Austin
Chicago Fire v
New England Revolution
Flamengo v
Corinthians
Mirassol v
Vitoria
Real Sociedad v
Stade Brestois 29 v
Paris Saint Germain
Juventus
PSV Eindhoven v
RAAL La Louvière v
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem v
Charleroi
Napoli v
Bologna
SV Elversberg v
Manchester United v
Manchester City← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.