Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1484 | 2026-09-12 13:05 | Everton vIpswich | 56% / 24% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 56% · home win | 74c255a67743… |
| 1483 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Newcastle vHull City | 80% / 13% / 7% | our call landedwe called home 80% · home win | 7ab0a7a4423e… |
| 1482 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Hamburger SV v1. FC Köln | 40% / 26% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | dff1f0c2eaaa… |
| 1481 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Eintracht Frankfurt vSC Freiburg | 48% / 25% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | 68bfa08f0924… |
| 1480 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vFSV Mainz 05 | 40% / 26% / 34% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | f29094a87d24… |
| 1479 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Werder Bremen vFC Augsburg | 47% / 25% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 47% · home win | f6c8ef7a3d71… |
| 1478 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Bologna vTorino | 46% / 28% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | 94b6cf03487d… |
| 1477 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Udinese vCagliari | 47% / 27% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win | e1f3b790c178… |
| 1476 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Osasuna vRayo Vallecano | 42% / 29% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 42% · draw | 76f0648a31ac… |
| 1475 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Stoke City vSheffield Utd | 33% / 28% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · home win | f22dbd461b61… |
| 1474 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Millwall vWest Ham | 25% / 26% / 49% | our call did not landwe called away 49% · draw | 5034c47fba2b… |
| 1473 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Cardiff vCharlton | 39% / 30% / 31% | our call landedwe called home 39% · home win | 7d7e2cce79c6… |
| 1472 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Tottenham vAston Villa | 36% / 26% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 45d596c5d3b9… |
| 1471 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | FC Juarez vTigres UANL | 27% / 26% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win | 1545258eb4de… |
| 1470 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Puebla vAtlante FC | 19% / 25% / 57% | our call did not landwe called away 57% · draw | 6af491eef02e… |
| 1469 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | New York City FC vNew York Red Bulls | 57% / 24% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | 64e421ae5483… |
| 1468 | 2026-09-12 12:07 | Bristol City vWatford | 43% / 28% / 29% | our call landedwe called home 43% · home win | 41313c94bfff… |
| 1467 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Espanyol vElche | 50% / 26% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 50% · away win | 69d9340b7c7a… |
| 1466 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Brentford vChelsea | 44% / 24% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 08bc37775a1b… |
| 1465 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Gent vStandard Liege | 50% / 27% / 23% | our call landedwe called home 50% · home win | 2d463de01a6a… |
| 1464 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Monaco vLens | 39% / 24% / 37% | our call landedwe called home 39% · home win | 6abbbd522c0e… |
| 1463 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Monza vSassuolo | 35% / 27% / 37% | our call did not landwe called away 37% · home win | 792765cd2626… |
| 1462 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Bayern München vUnion Berlin | 81% / 12% / 7% | our call landedwe called home 81% · home win | 373c60d4721b… |
| 1461 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Groningen vPEC Zwolle | 61% / 21% / 17% | our call landedwe called home 61% · home win | d5facb02aff6… |
| 1460 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Malaga vVillarreal | 33% / 26% / 40% | our call landedwe called away 40% · away win | fb40e64ac314… |
| 1459 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Real Betis vGetafe | 52% / 29% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | 82173063bf5e… |
| 1458 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Botafogo vGremio | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | d62377da7338… |
| 1457 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Levante vAthletic Club | 35% / 27% / 38% | not played | 745b65745b17… |
| 1456 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Barcelona vRacing Santander | 76% / 15% / 9% | our call landedwe called home 76% · home win | a349888bcdec… |
| 1455 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Deportivo La Coruna vSevilla | 46% / 28% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · away win | 9864b25db079… |
| 1454 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Atletico Madrid vOsasuna | 62% / 22% / 16% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 2f45501168b5… |
| 1453 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Puebla vToluca | 13% / 23% / 65% | our call landedwe called away 65% · away win | b1c5ada7efac… |
| 1452 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Elche vReal Madrid | 17% / 21% / 62% | our call landedwe called away 62% · away win | 36b193adb698… |
| 1451 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Falkirk vHeart Of Midlothian | 26% / 29% / 45% | our call did not landwe called away 45% · home win | e9c0adffedce… |
| 1450 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Motherwell vAberdeen | 62% / 24% / 13% | our call did not landwe called home 62% · away win | d0157553669b… |
| 1449 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Hibernian vKilmarnock | 63% / 22% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 63% · away win | 051e9804de2b… |
| 1448 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Middlesbrough vMillwall | 50% / 27% / 22% | our call did not landwe called home 50% · draw | 3ed8a99561d0… |
| 1447 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Bristol City vLincoln | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 2d700cb52a52… |
| 1446 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Ajax vWillem II | 75% / 17% / 8% | our call landedwe called home 75% · home win | 135cc9f33da4… |
| 1445 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Alaves vValencia | 40% / 29% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | 304ff56b80ae… |
| 1444 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Rayo Vallecano vEspanyol | 48% / 27% / 25% | our call landedwe called home 48% · home win | 085f5d37f081… |
| 1443 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Leon vAtletico San Luis | 37% / 28% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 37% · home win | 5c16e765cb10… |
| 1442 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Bahia vRemo | 57% / 24% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 57% · home win | 9ca39d94edd0… |
| 1441 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | SC Braga vEstoril | 68% / 18% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 7a44bd30549a… |
| 1440 | 2026-09-12 12:06 | Moreirense vMaritimo | 45% / 29% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 45% · home win | 1b35bc84b139… |
| 1439 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Villarreal vReal Betis | 52% / 24% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · away win | 2a5fec9a7647… |
| 1438 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Leeds vNewcastle | 40% / 26% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | 869715b9e43d… |
| 1437 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Inter vUdinese | 72% / 17% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 72% · home win | 46ae48bfcab4… |
| 1436 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Rio Ave vEstrela | 43% / 28% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | a59ea4759765… |
| 1435 | 2026-09-12 12:05 | Como vParma | 64% / 23% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 64% · home win | cb4d2cdd7cb9… |
Everton v
Ipswich
Newcastle v
Hull City
Hamburger SV v
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt v
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach v
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen v
FC Augsburg
Bologna v
Torino
Udinese v
Cagliari
Osasuna v
Rayo Vallecano
Stoke City v
Sheffield Utd
Millwall v
West Ham
Cardiff v
Charlton
Tottenham v
Aston Villa
FC Juarez v
Tigres UANL
Puebla v
Atlante FC
New York City FC v
New York Red Bulls
Bristol City v
Watford
Espanyol v
Elche
Brentford v
Chelsea
Gent v
Standard Liege
Monaco v
Lens
Monza v
Sassuolo
Bayern München v
Union Berlin
Groningen v
PEC Zwolle
Malaga v
Villarreal
Real Betis v
Getafe
Botafogo v
Gremio
Levante v
Athletic Club
Barcelona v
Racing Santander
Deportivo La Coruna v
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid v
Toluca
Real Madrid
Falkirk v
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell v
Aberdeen
Hibernian v
Kilmarnock
Middlesbrough v
Lincoln
Ajax v
Willem II
Alaves v
Valencia
Leon v
Atletico San Luis
Bahia v
Remo
SC Braga v
Estoril
Moreirense v
Maritimo
Leeds v
Inter v
Rio Ave v
Estrela
Como v
Parma← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.