Published forecasts

Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.

Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.

Daily seals

At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.

#PublishedMatchH / D / AResultHash
2342026-08-31 07:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away winb6dbf0f9546a…
2332026-08-31 07:05Barcelona vRayo Vallecano77% / 16% / 7%our call landedwe called home 77% · home win69f234dbdc66…
2322026-08-31 07:05Aston Villa vArsenal22% / 26% / 52%our call landedwe called away 52% · away win3becc0dd5872…
2312026-08-31 07:05Atalanta vBologna52% / 25% / 23%our call landedwe called home 52% · home wina00701d65b52…
2302026-08-31 07:05Osasuna vGetafe43% / 32% / 25%our call landedwe called home 43% · home win516698850a1d…
2292026-08-31 07:05Lecce vAS Roma16% / 28% / 56%our call landedwe called away 56% · away windcd7d07ef780…
2282026-08-31 06:07Elche vReal Sociedad33% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away win5024a81bc685…
2272026-08-31 06:07Udinese vLazio31% / 28% / 41%our call landedwe called away 41% · away wine34edc6c564c…
2262026-08-31 06:07Getafe vCelta Vigo37% / 32% / 32%our call did not landwe called home 37% · draw80d39e7e0e4c…
2252026-08-31 06:07Cagliari vLecce42% / 32% / 27%our call landedwe called home 42% · home win4775255de046…
2242026-08-31 06:07Espanyol vSevilla41% / 28% / 32%our call did not landwe called home 41% · draw2ced22f0a177…
2232026-08-31 06:07Marseille vParis FC58% / 22% / 19%our call did not landwe called home 58% · away win5543e5dee024…
2222026-08-31 06:07Juventus vAC Milan43% / 29% / 28%our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw96364fb00bd5…
2212026-08-31 06:07Alaves vOsasuna38% / 30% / 32%our call landedwe called home 38% · home win4c5ec6071317…
2202026-08-31 06:07Bologna vSassuolo52% / 25% / 23%our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw5d7e531a6ce3…
2192026-08-31 06:07Eintracht Frankfurt vFC Augsburg57% / 23% / 20%our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win9a3aad484d2f…
2182026-08-31 06:07Arsenal vChelsea61% / 23% / 16%our call landedwe called home 61% · home winf0acbbf958e8…
2172026-08-31 06:07Angers vRennes21% / 25% / 55%our call landedwe called away 55% · away wind95eb48e1785…
2162026-08-31 06:07Valencia vBarcelona17% / 22% / 61%our call landedwe called away 61% · away win06623a0dede6…
2152026-08-31 06:07Hamburger SV vFSV Mainz 0533% / 29% / 38%our call landedwe called away 38% · away winb53451d40c36…
2142026-08-31 06:07Estac Troyes vStrasbourg25% / 25% / 50%our call landedwe called away 50% · away win84a9205b1abe…
2132026-08-31 06:07Parma vMonza43% / 30% / 28%our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw14c0b6543073…
2122026-08-31 06:06Frosinone vVenezia45% / 27% / 27%our call landedwe called home 45% · home win7d8897fdc18a…
2112026-08-31 06:06Everton vManchester United36% / 29% / 36%our call did not landwe called home 36% · drawd6b9e6a0a9dd…
2102026-08-31 06:06Le Havre vStade Brestois 2933% / 28% / 39%our call landedwe called away 39% · away win33a9bc7872dc…
2092026-08-31 06:06AS Roma vAtalanta40% / 27% / 33%our call landedwe called home 40% · home win8b7e076d03c6…
2082026-08-31 06:06FC Schalke 04 vBayern München6% / 11% / 82%our call did not landwe called away 82% · draw559dcc516f1e…
2072026-08-31 06:06Inter vNapoli52% / 25% / 22%our call landedwe called home 52% · home wine88a6e258a89…
2062026-08-31 06:06Lens vLorient61% / 22% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win028258eb3d48…
2052026-08-31 06:06Athletic Club vAtletico Madrid34% / 29% / 38%our call did not landwe called away 38% · home win60b346476c0b…
2042026-08-31 06:06Nottingham Forest vTottenham46% / 25% / 29%our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw16b3966e2682…
2032026-08-31 06:06Brentford vSunderland48% / 28% / 24%our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw782bf1f430bb…
2022026-08-31 06:06Brighton vLeeds56% / 23% / 21%our call did not landwe called home 56% · drawc831debe66e4…
2012026-08-31 06:06Fulham vCrystal Palace41% / 29% / 30%our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win931dc320d182…
2002026-08-31 06:06SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg39% / 28% / 33%our call did not landwe called home 39% · away wina0d35d276f14…
1992026-08-31 06:06Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin68% / 19% / 13%our call landedwe called home 68% · home win77556b1ec2f6…
1982026-08-31 06:061899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund29% / 22% / 49%our call landedwe called away 49% · away wind2ddd11c97eb…
1972026-08-31 06:06Borussia Mönchengladbach vSV Elversberg49% / 25% / 26%our call did not landwe called home 49% · away win59c0446d7830…
1962026-08-31 06:06Werder Bremen vRB Leipzig26% / 24% / 50%our call did not landwe called away 50% · home win145db5e902f4…
1952026-08-31 06:06Fiorentina vTorino47% / 28% / 25%our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win5ba455595770…
1942026-08-31 06:06Newcastle vBournemouth48% / 25% / 27%our call did not landwe called home 48% · drawbfced88714bc…
1932026-08-31 06:06Paris Saint Germain vMonaco65% / 19% / 16%our call did not landwe called home 65% · away winf5d7d3c63a1a…
1922026-08-31 06:06Real Betis vReal Madrid27% / 26% / 47%our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win970375290ba6…
1912026-08-31 06:06Ipswich vLiverpool11% / 17% / 71%our call landedwe called away 71% · away win9fa53f963f87…
1902026-08-31 06:05Genoa vComo24% / 29% / 47%our call landedwe called away 47% · away wincfb2d3cf5bfb…
1892026-08-31 06:05VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln62% / 21% / 18%our call landedwe called home 62% · home wind4ba8336f989…
1882026-08-31 06:05Lyon vAuxerre59% / 23% / 18%our call landedwe called home 59% · home win95b17ab7b4ec…
1872026-08-31 06:05Real Sociedad vCelta Vigo46% / 27% / 27%our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw318089c436c9…
1862026-08-31 06:05Toulouse vLille31% / 28% / 40%our call landedwe called away 40% · away wina1b42b168166…
1852026-08-31 06:05Barcelona vRayo Vallecano77% / 16% / 7%our call landedwe called home 77% · home windc332b27ee29…

← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played

The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.