Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-18 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 284 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Lyon vAuxerre | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | 393da3f018e7… |
| 283 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Real Sociedad vCelta Vigo | 46% / 27% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | 06dd13938231… |
| 282 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Toulouse vLille | 31% / 28% / 40% | our call landedwe called away 40% · away win | 29ad5ec63be9… |
| 281 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Barcelona vRayo Vallecano | 77% / 16% / 7% | our call landedwe called home 77% · home win | 642e4ba0fb8a… |
| 280 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Aston Villa vArsenal | 22% / 26% / 52% | our call landedwe called away 52% · away win | 7cb04ae6435d… |
| 279 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Atalanta vBologna | 52% / 25% / 23% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | 6f0e97fc928b… |
| 278 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Osasuna vGetafe | 42% / 33% / 25% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | 4ed4293ea135… |
| 277 | 2026-08-31 09:05 | Lecce vAS Roma | 16% / 28% / 56% | our call landedwe called away 56% · away win | a536b2bb0306… |
| 276 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Elche vReal Sociedad | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 97f3b5d18687… |
| 275 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Udinese vLazio | 30% / 28% / 42% | our call landedwe called away 42% · away win | 735d6867dbfd… |
| 274 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Getafe vCelta Vigo | 37% / 32% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 37% · draw | eb18898cacc8… |
| 273 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Cagliari vLecce | 42% / 32% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | ab7c4b137b1c… |
| 272 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Espanyol vSevilla | 41% / 28% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 41% · draw | 5142224f76ae… |
| 271 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Marseille vParis FC | 58% / 22% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · away win | c7ce9c41320f… |
| 270 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Juventus vAC Milan | 43% / 29% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 61f7596cce4f… |
| 269 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Alaves vOsasuna | 37% / 30% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 37% · home win | 2fe8d5aefc19… |
| 268 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Bologna vSassuolo | 52% / 25% / 24% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw | 64471fcb160d… |
| 267 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Eintracht Frankfurt vFC Augsburg | 57% / 23% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | b79bfb00ae32… |
| 266 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Arsenal vChelsea | 62% / 23% / 16% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 24fa670b8382… |
| 265 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Angers vRennes | 21% / 25% / 55% | our call landedwe called away 55% · away win | 67f19641ec6c… |
| 264 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Valencia vBarcelona | 17% / 22% / 61% | our call landedwe called away 61% · away win | e4190821a82c… |
| 263 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Hamburger SV vFSV Mainz 05 | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | b0a2461531e5… |
| 262 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Estac Troyes vStrasbourg | 25% / 25% / 50% | our call landedwe called away 50% · away win | 8e7c8bf6dd19… |
| 261 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Parma vMonza | 43% / 30% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 645f20478924… |
| 260 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Frosinone vVenezia | 45% / 27% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 45% · home win | af27d813b07d… |
| 259 | 2026-08-31 07:07 | Everton vManchester United | 36% / 29% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 36% · draw | cc8f52bf52a4… |
| 258 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Le Havre vStade Brestois 29 | 33% / 28% / 39% | our call landedwe called away 39% · away win | 0e99993e8cfb… |
| 257 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | AS Roma vAtalanta | 40% / 27% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | 7bd2d1159f1b… |
| 256 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | FC Schalke 04 vBayern München | 6% / 11% / 82% | our call did not landwe called away 82% · draw | 7f8fee1b8e67… |
| 255 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Inter vNapoli | 52% / 25% / 22% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | 907b8b66343d… |
| 254 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Lens vLorient | 61% / 22% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win | 1d6711bbf14a… |
| 253 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Athletic Club vAtletico Madrid | 34% / 29% / 38% | our call did not landwe called away 38% · home win | a22413437233… |
| 252 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Nottingham Forest vTottenham | 46% / 25% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | 888b2e771a70… |
| 251 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Brentford vSunderland | 48% / 28% / 24% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | ffdc0fab5da1… |
| 250 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Brighton vLeeds | 56% / 23% / 21% | our call did not landwe called home 56% · draw | 4305dfd40817… |
| 249 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Fulham vCrystal Palace | 41% / 29% / 30% | our call did not landwe called home 41% · away win | b0e3e7b8fb71… |
| 248 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | SC Paderborn 07 vSC Freiburg | 39% / 28% / 33% | our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win | 62f87046c694… |
| 247 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Bayer Leverkusen vUnion Berlin | 68% / 19% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 0f738133ae7c… |
| 246 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | 1899 Hoffenheim vBorussia Dortmund | 29% / 22% / 49% | our call landedwe called away 49% · away win | 32982e019bc3… |
| 245 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Borussia Mönchengladbach vSV Elversberg | 50% / 25% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 50% · away win | 3f550b8f177c… |
| 244 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Werder Bremen vRB Leipzig | 26% / 24% / 50% | our call did not landwe called away 50% · home win | 4fd7eb101dc6… |
| 243 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Fiorentina vTorino | 47% / 28% / 25% | our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win | acff1c11d545… |
| 242 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Newcastle vBournemouth | 49% / 25% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 49% · draw | 8ea63416728e… |
| 241 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Paris Saint Germain vMonaco | 65% / 19% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 65% · away win | 41561005dc75… |
| 240 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Real Betis vReal Madrid | 27% / 26% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win | e3aae723a8f8… |
| 239 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Ipswich vLiverpool | 11% / 17% / 71% | our call landedwe called away 71% · away win | 890fbb0d3fcb… |
| 238 | 2026-08-31 07:06 | Genoa vComo | 24% / 29% / 47% | our call landedwe called away 47% · away win | 00e1f266fee8… |
| 237 | 2026-08-31 07:05 | VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln | 62% / 21% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 310e2fe16e30… |
| 236 | 2026-08-31 07:05 | Lyon vAuxerre | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | 86d6fd58825f… |
| 235 | 2026-08-31 07:05 | Real Sociedad vCelta Vigo | 46% / 27% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | f9a9077bbdbc… |
Lyon v
Auxerre
Real Sociedad v
Celta Vigo
Toulouse v
Lille
Barcelona v
Rayo Vallecano
Aston Villa v
Arsenal
Atalanta v
Bologna
Osasuna v
Getafe
Lecce v
AS Roma
Elche v
Udinese v
Lazio
Cagliari v
Espanyol v
Sevilla
Marseille v
Paris FC
Juventus v
AC Milan
Alaves v
Sassuolo
Eintracht Frankfurt v
FC Augsburg
Chelsea
Angers v
Rennes
Valencia v
Hamburger SV v
FSV Mainz 05
Estac Troyes v
Strasbourg
Parma v
Monza
Frosinone v
Venezia
Everton v
Manchester United
Le Havre v
Stade Brestois 29
FC Schalke 04 v
Bayern München
Inter v
Napoli
Lens v
Lorient
Athletic Club v
Atletico Madrid
Nottingham Forest v
Tottenham
Brentford v
Sunderland
Brighton v
Leeds
Fulham v
Crystal Palace
SC Paderborn 07 v
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen v
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim v
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Mönchengladbach v
SV Elversberg
Werder Bremen v
RB Leipzig
Fiorentina v
Torino
Newcastle v
Bournemouth
Paris Saint Germain v
Monaco
Real Betis v
Real Madrid
Ipswich v
Liverpool
Genoa v
Como
VfB Stuttgart v
1. FC Köln← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.