Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 834 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Watford vPreston | 44% / 28% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 36b9aa5edb81… |
| 833 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | NEC Nijmegen vExcelsior | 66% / 19% / 15% | our call did not landwe called home 66% · draw | 4be3d7eb17be… |
| 832 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Vitoria vGremio | 41% / 28% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 41% · home win | 86e46631ba0d… |
| 831 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Elche vReal Sociedad | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 6e2f70a7f522… |
| 830 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Estoril vArouca | 47% / 25% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 47% · draw | baa4d4bca327… |
| 829 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Udinese vLazio | 30% / 28% / 42% | our call landedwe called away 42% · away win | 3f35322a454a… |
| 828 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Getafe vCelta Vigo | 38% / 31% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · draw | 5091ee1a2894… |
| 827 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Cagliari vLecce | 42% / 31% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | f7011695e17b… |
| 826 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Cruz Azul vSantos Laguna | 75% / 16% / 10% | our call landedwe called home 75% · home win | 43996534f53c… |
| 825 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Corinthians vChapecoense-sc | 69% / 21% / 10% | our call did not landwe called home 69% · away win | 999049d9de50… |
| 824 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Botafogo vPalmeiras | 39% / 29% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 39% · draw | 0efc03f9a4d3… |
| 823 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Cruzeiro vAtletico Paranaense | 51% / 29% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 51% · home win | 68f7e9863f85… |
| 822 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Internacional vSantos | 54% / 26% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 54% · away win | 54b72117b899… |
| 821 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Espanyol vSevilla | 41% / 27% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 41% · draw | 09fc44ce2f06… |
| 820 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Marseille vParis FC | 58% / 22% / 19% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · away win | 946d2cd5a7c3… |
| 819 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Juventus vAC Milan | 43% / 29% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | f98a92bf2c4c… |
| 818 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas vLeon | 60% / 22% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 60% · home win | 756de386c957… |
| 817 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Vitória SC vCasa Pia | 52% / 27% / 21% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw | 9a39c8c24607… |
| 816 | 2026-09-03 06:06 | Anderlecht vGenk | 44% / 26% / 30% | our call did not landwe called home 44% · draw | d2a0d3151a15… |
| 815 | 2026-09-03 06:05 | Alaves vOsasuna | 38% / 30% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 38% · home win | d6c48bde7891… |
| 814 | 2026-09-03 06:05 | Bologna vSassuolo | 52% / 25% / 23% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw | c28427e2caa9… |
| 813 | 2026-09-03 06:05 | Eintracht Frankfurt vFC Augsburg | 58% / 22% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · away win | a108a34f7633… |
| 812 | 2026-09-03 06:05 | Arsenal vChelsea | 63% / 22% / 15% | our call landedwe called home 63% · home win | c7bc0974a90c… |
| 811 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Angers vRennes | 21% / 25% / 54% | our call landedwe called away 54% · away win | ed78bbd469f0… |
| 810 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | ADO Den Haag vFortuna Sittard | 38% / 24% / 38% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 9978758c140f… |
| 809 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Santa Clara vRio Ave | 41% / 31% / 28% | our call landedwe called home 41% · home win | 558bbe9244a1… |
| 808 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Valencia vBarcelona | 17% / 22% / 61% | our call landedwe called away 61% · away win | 44af5c0addf5… |
| 807 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Coritiba vMirassol | 22% / 24% / 55% | our call landedwe called away 55% · away win | 188f17299e6a… |
| 806 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | ST Johnstone vHibernian | 25% / 28% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win | bcf01a4700d9… |
| 805 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Heart Of Midlothian vDundee | 68% / 20% / 13% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | 63f3a62221fb… |
| 804 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Kortrijk vZulte Waregem | 36% / 25% / 39% | our call landedwe called away 39% · away win | 8f59492f71b6… |
| 803 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Hamburger SV vFSV Mainz 05 | 34% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 11cc631de237… |
| 802 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Estac Troyes vStrasbourg | 25% / 25% / 50% | our call landedwe called away 50% · away win | 9907925dcc20… |
| 801 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Parma vMonza | 43% / 30% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 8cbf387488de… |
| 800 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Frosinone vVenezia | 46% / 27% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 46% · home win | 9f6d79bfa53c… |
| 799 | 2026-09-03 05:07 | Everton vManchester United | 37% / 28% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 37% · draw | d8b7bd9a136b… |
| 798 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Telstar vCambuur | 65% / 21% / 15% | our call did not landwe called home 65% · draw | 48adec2022b8… |
| 797 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Heerenveen vAZ Alkmaar | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | 82f107032d50… |
| 796 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Cercle Brugge vGent | 36% / 26% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 192dd3334162… |
| 795 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Birmingham vWolves | 27% / 28% / 45% | our call did not landwe called away 45% · draw | 6a0ffb89b62d… |
| 794 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Groningen vTwente | 26% / 27% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · draw | be5b455d5a93… |
| 793 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Portland Timbers vMinnesota United FC | 41% / 26% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 41% · home win | 3f68e92fb10e… |
| 792 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Vancouver Whitecaps vSt. Louis City | 64% / 20% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 64% · away win | 08c5bd6dc358… |
| 791 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Real Salt Lake vLos Angeles FC | 31% / 26% / 43% | our call did not landwe called away 43% · draw | 91a1be665adb… |
| 790 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Los Angeles Galaxy vNew England Revolution | 57% / 21% / 22% | our call landedwe called home 57% · home win | bae37a416f1f… |
| 789 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Club America vClub Tijuana | 62% / 22% / 16% | not played | 4646e0f691d7… |
| 788 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Tigres UANL vNecaxa | 64% / 21% / 15% | our call did not landwe called home 64% · draw | fddbb3c62e79… |
| 787 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Austin vSan Jose Earthquakes | 49% / 24% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 49% · draw | 6ae334691910… |
| 786 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | FC Dallas vSporting Kansas City | 59% / 21% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | 211751f10677… |
| 785 | 2026-09-03 05:06 | Seattle Sounders vNew York Red Bulls | 52% / 26% / 21% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw | 2d7a65a940ac… |
Watford v
Preston
NEC Nijmegen v
Excelsior
Vitoria v
Gremio
Elche v
Real Sociedad
Estoril v
Arouca
Udinese v
Lazio
Getafe v
Celta Vigo
Cagliari v
Lecce
Cruz Azul v
Santos Laguna
Corinthians v
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo v
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro v
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional v
Santos
Espanyol v
Sevilla
Marseille v
Paris FC
Juventus v
AC Milan
U.N.A.M. - Pumas v
Leon
Vitória SC v
Casa Pia
Anderlecht v
Genk
Alaves v
Osasuna
Bologna v
Sassuolo
Eintracht Frankfurt v
FC Augsburg
Arsenal v
Chelsea
Angers v
Rennes
ADO Den Haag v
Fortuna Sittard
Santa Clara v
Rio Ave
Valencia v
Barcelona
Coritiba v
Mirassol
ST Johnstone v
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian v
Dundee
Kortrijk v
Zulte Waregem
Hamburger SV v
FSV Mainz 05
Estac Troyes v
Strasbourg
Parma v
Monza
Frosinone v
Venezia
Everton v
Manchester United
Telstar v
Cambuur
Heerenveen v
AZ Alkmaar
Cercle Brugge v
Gent
Birmingham v
Wolves
Groningen v
Twente
Portland Timbers v
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps v
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake v
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy v
New England Revolution
Club America v
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL v
Necaxa
Austin v
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas v
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders v
New York Red Bulls← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.