Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-12 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-11 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1084 | 2026-09-04 03:05 | Eintracht Frankfurt vFC Augsburg | 57% / 22% / 21% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | d81f5c61c54a… |
| 1083 | 2026-09-04 03:05 | Arsenal vChelsea | 64% / 22% / 14% | our call landedwe called home 64% · home win | 02c11571d62c… |
| 1082 | 2026-09-04 03:05 | Angers vRennes | 23% / 25% / 52% | our call landedwe called away 52% · away win | 4e6d1635d9ad… |
| 1081 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | ADO Den Haag vFortuna Sittard | 30% / 27% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | 2708ee52459f… |
| 1080 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Santa Clara vRio Ave | 46% / 30% / 24% | our call landedwe called home 46% · home win | 2a34f9db5f2e… |
| 1079 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Valencia vBarcelona | 21% / 23% / 56% | our call landedwe called away 56% · away win | f2cdff2c4c76… |
| 1078 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Coritiba vMirassol | 30% / 26% / 44% | our call landedwe called away 44% · away win | 20427fccd4a6… |
| 1077 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | ST Johnstone vHibernian | 22% / 28% / 50% | our call did not landwe called away 50% · home win | e4b4fb387338… |
| 1076 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Heart Of Midlothian vDundee | 69% / 20% / 11% | our call landedwe called home 69% · home win | 8199e55799ca… |
| 1075 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Kortrijk vZulte Waregem | 32% / 25% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | 84cb49b0af61… |
| 1074 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Hamburger SV vFSV Mainz 05 | 34% / 27% / 39% | our call landedwe called away 39% · away win | 02ea7b49ec55… |
| 1073 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Estac Troyes vStrasbourg | 23% / 24% / 53% | our call landedwe called away 53% · away win | 51c55ec25b49… |
| 1072 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Parma vMonza | 41% / 30% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 41% · draw | 148a15cf5056… |
| 1071 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Frosinone vVenezia | 47% / 27% / 26% | our call landedwe called home 47% · home win | 9222decfbe97… |
| 1070 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Everton vManchester United | 33% / 26% / 41% | our call did not landwe called away 41% · draw | 780152a58d14… |
| 1069 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Telstar vCambuur | 69% / 19% / 12% | our call did not landwe called home 69% · draw | fc7590e8e5ea… |
| 1068 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Heerenveen vAZ Alkmaar | 36% / 25% / 39% | our call landedwe called away 39% · away win | 3ade41ce1538… |
| 1067 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Cercle Brugge vGent | 40% / 25% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 40% · away win | 0a2e628f784b… |
| 1066 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Birmingham vWolves | 31% / 29% / 40% | our call did not landwe called away 40% · draw | 1668c56dddf4… |
| 1065 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Groningen vTwente | 34% / 26% / 40% | our call did not landwe called away 40% · draw | b7a647990ba8… |
| 1064 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Atlas vAtlante FC | 31% / 28% / 41% | our call did not landwe called away 41% · draw | 8d79271d86c0… |
| 1063 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Portland Timbers vMinnesota United FC | 46% / 25% / 29% | our call landedwe called home 46% · home win | 62695ab97bce… |
| 1062 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Vancouver Whitecaps vSt. Louis City | 67% / 19% / 14% | our call did not landwe called home 67% · away win | d5424d68d7b1… |
| 1061 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Real Salt Lake vLos Angeles FC | 29% / 26% / 45% | our call did not landwe called away 45% · draw | 850417c3e736… |
| 1060 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Los Angeles Galaxy vNew England Revolution | 49% / 24% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 49% · home win | 4c119846f522… |
| 1059 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Tigres UANL vNecaxa | 62% / 24% / 14% | our call did not landwe called home 62% · draw | a1f9ba3cb065… |
| 1058 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Club America vClub Tijuana | 59% / 25% / 16% | not played | 8d2303ac66e3… |
| 1057 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Austin vSan Jose Earthquakes | 36% / 25% / 40% | our call did not landwe called away 40% · draw | 5d1194390e40… |
| 1056 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | FC Dallas vSporting Kansas City | 68% / 18% / 15% | our call landedwe called home 68% · home win | ac7fc63b20d1… |
| 1055 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Seattle Sounders vNew York Red Bulls | 58% / 23% / 19% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · draw | 89d7e80ff2a8… |
| 1054 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Fluminense vVasco DA Gama | 56% / 25% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 56% · home win | 7d6a34d8746f… |
| 1053 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Charlotte vHouston Dynamo | 46% / 26% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | 1107cec79715… |
| 1052 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Inter Miami vAtlanta United FC | 73% / 15% / 12% | our call did not landwe called home 73% · draw | 45e8d3688814… |
| 1051 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | FC Cincinnati vDC United | 61% / 20% / 18% | not played | 94f67aca57bf… |
| 1050 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Columbus Crew vColorado Rapids | 56% / 23% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 56% · home win | 476e6649ac54… |
| 1049 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Toronto FC vChicago Fire | 35% / 26% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · draw | 1729fe33c419… |
| 1048 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Philadelphia Union vCF Montreal | 65% / 20% / 15% | our call landedwe called home 65% · home win | 44a93c2f6744… |
| 1047 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Orlando City SC vSan Diego | 38% / 23% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · home win | 4529eac3aa1a… |
| 1046 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Atletico San Luis vGuadalajara Chivas | 23% / 27% / 50% | our call landedwe called away 50% · away win | 88d86f50e5b9… |
| 1045 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Club Queretaro vMonterrey | 38% / 29% / 33% | not played | 647cfba3dd06… |
| 1044 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Sao Paulo vAtletico-MG | 44% / 29% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 966c61e08e85… |
| 1043 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Sporting CP vNacional | 84% / 11% / 5% | our call landedwe called home 84% · home win | a7427c849e1c… |
| 1042 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | RB Bragantino vBahia | 45% / 27% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 45% · away win | fce88cbff020… |
| 1041 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | ST Mirren vCeltic | 15% / 27% / 58% | our call landedwe called away 58% · away win | 44230be66d09… |
| 1040 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Willem II vExcelsior | 30% / 27% / 43% | our call landedwe called away 43% · away win | bdb433925886… |
| 1039 | 2026-09-04 02:06 | Swansea vWrexham | 42% / 27% / 31% | our call did not landwe called home 42% · draw | ecde9b84d5f6… |
| 1038 | 2026-09-04 02:05 | Villarreal vDeportivo La Coruna | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call did not landwe called home 59% · away win | c07a02732393… |
| 1037 | 2026-09-04 02:05 | St. Truiden vRAAL La Louvière | 56% / 25% / 19% | our call landedwe called home 56% · home win | df19c4f11af2… |
| 1036 | 2026-09-04 02:05 | Standard Liege vAntwerp | 35% / 30% / 36% | our call did not landwe called away 36% · home win | 4422e0922287… |
| 1035 | 2026-09-04 02:05 | Le Havre vStade Brestois 29 | 38% / 27% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 38% · away win | 88f0fbac8547… |
Eintracht Frankfurt v
FC Augsburg
Arsenal v
Chelsea
Angers v
Rennes
ADO Den Haag v
Fortuna Sittard
Santa Clara v
Rio Ave
Valencia v
Barcelona
Coritiba v
Mirassol
ST Johnstone v
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian v
Dundee
Kortrijk v
Zulte Waregem
Hamburger SV v
FSV Mainz 05
Estac Troyes v
Strasbourg
Parma v
Monza
Frosinone v
Venezia
Everton v
Manchester United
Telstar v
Cambuur
Heerenveen v
AZ Alkmaar
Cercle Brugge v
Gent
Birmingham v
Wolves
Groningen v
Twente
Atlas v
Atlante FC
Portland Timbers v
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps v
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake v
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy v
New England Revolution
Tigres UANL v
Necaxa
Club America v
Club Tijuana
Austin v
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas v
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders v
New York Red Bulls
Fluminense v
Vasco DA Gama
Charlotte v
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami v
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati v
DC United
Columbus Crew v
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC v
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union v
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC v
San Diego
Atletico San Luis v
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro v
Monterrey
Sao Paulo v
Atletico-MG
Sporting CP v
Nacional
RB Bragantino v
Bahia
ST Mirren v
Celtic
Willem II v
Excelsior
Swansea v
Wrexham
Villarreal v
Deportivo La Coruna
St. Truiden v
RAAL La Louvière
Standard Liege v
Antwerp
Le Havre v
Stade Brestois 29← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.