Published forecasts
Every forecast we have published, in the order we published it. Each row carries a hash of itself and the row before, so changing a probability after a match has been played would break every hash after it. That is what stops us quietly revising a number and claiming we always said it — and you do not have to take our word for the check, it runs when you load this page.
Chain intact across all 2034 published forecasts.
Daily seals
At the end of each day we write that day's final hash to separate storage. The chain alone would catch a single altered forecast, but not a wholesale rebuild from edited rows — evidence kept in the same place as the thing it attests to proves less than it appears to. Note a seal today and you can hold us to it later.
- 2026-10-19 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-18 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-17 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-16 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-15 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-14 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
- 2026-10-13 · 0 forecasts · 0000000000000000…
| # | Published | Match | H / D / A | Result | Hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 2026-08-30 15:06 | Real Betis vReal Madrid | 27% / 26% / 47% | our call did not landwe called away 47% · home win | 4f73128f5367… |
| 83 | 2026-08-30 15:06 | Ipswich vLiverpool | 11% / 17% / 71% | our call landedwe called away 71% · away win | 6980d44525e8… |
| 82 | 2026-08-30 15:06 | Genoa vComo | 24% / 29% / 47% | our call landedwe called away 47% · away win | 1e0b69b86d7f… |
| 81 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | VfB Stuttgart v1. FC Köln | 62% / 21% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | e24d39fe90fd… |
| 80 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Lyon vAuxerre | 59% / 23% / 18% | our call landedwe called home 59% · home win | 22cc4779a45f… |
| 79 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Real Sociedad vCelta Vigo | 46% / 27% / 27% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | df9f606c033d… |
| 78 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Toulouse vLille | 31% / 28% / 40% | our call landedwe called away 40% · away win | cef7be0dd8d9… |
| 77 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Barcelona vRayo Vallecano | 77% / 16% / 7% | our call landedwe called home 77% · home win | bbec3340908c… |
| 76 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Aston Villa vArsenal | 22% / 26% / 52% | our call landedwe called away 52% · away win | de91c0c22db5… |
| 75 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Atalanta vBologna | 52% / 25% / 23% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | 81bb000471f1… |
| 74 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Osasuna vGetafe | 42% / 33% / 25% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | 8a352f92df4a… |
| 73 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Lecce vAS Roma | 16% / 28% / 56% | our call landedwe called away 56% · away win | cc7a48bc3dca… |
| 72 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Celta Vigo vAthletic Club | 39% / 29% / 33% | our call did not landwe called home 39% · away win | 1fb7008eeba0… |
| 71 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Monaco vMarseille | 43% / 24% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 43% · home win | 43840a852b3b… |
| 70 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Cagliari vInter | 10% / 17% / 73% | our call landedwe called away 73% · away win | 8fb7ececc143… |
| 69 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Lazio vGenoa | 53% / 27% / 20% | our call landedwe called home 53% · home win | 2e6c3de6e2ea… |
| 68 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Napoli vComo | 47% / 28% / 26% | our call did not landwe called home 47% · away win | 601f9569369b… |
| 67 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | FC Augsburg vFC Schalke 04 | 54% / 25% / 21% | our call landedwe called home 54% · home win | d452353d87f4… |
| 66 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Manchester United vIpswich | 72% / 18% / 11% | our call landedwe called home 72% · home win | 37ee1bef1345… |
| 65 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | SC Freiburg vWerder Bremen | 49% / 25% / 26% | our call landedwe called home 49% · home win | 758d65853ff2… |
| 64 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Paris FC vNice | 38% / 28% / 34% | our call landedwe called home 38% · home win | 43c53ba41006… |
| 63 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Sunderland vFulham | 36% / 31% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 36% · home win | 9ddc6cc6a3d7… |
| 62 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Leeds vBrentford | 35% / 26% / 39% | our call did not landwe called away 39% · draw | 964629734a25… |
| 61 | 2026-08-30 15:05 | Chelsea vBrighton | 44% / 26% / 31% | our call landedwe called home 44% · home win | 16a65bddf4b2… |
| 60 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Elche vReal Sociedad | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 895bddd25754… |
| 59 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Udinese vLazio | 30% / 28% / 42% | our call landedwe called away 42% · away win | 0970ec404604… |
| 58 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Getafe vCelta Vigo | 37% / 32% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 37% · draw | 7f9c00147ef0… |
| 57 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Cagliari vLecce | 42% / 32% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 42% · home win | d9dd92a01d71… |
| 56 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Espanyol vSevilla | 41% / 28% / 32% | our call did not landwe called home 41% · draw | 8890f3e14064… |
| 55 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Marseille vParis FC | 58% / 22% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 58% · away win | 4efb133d3e69… |
| 54 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Juventus vAC Milan | 43% / 29% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | 226400f6f8fc… |
| 53 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Alaves vOsasuna | 37% / 30% / 32% | our call landedwe called home 37% · home win | f98853f35df0… |
| 52 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Bologna vSassuolo | 52% / 25% / 24% | our call did not landwe called home 52% · draw | 06bbdfd8a7a9… |
| 51 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Eintracht Frankfurt vFC Augsburg | 57% / 23% / 20% | our call did not landwe called home 57% · away win | 5be6ae225b3d… |
| 50 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Arsenal vChelsea | 62% / 23% / 16% | our call landedwe called home 62% · home win | 9ed0ca797fcb… |
| 49 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Angers vRennes | 21% / 25% / 55% | our call landedwe called away 55% · away win | b772d2acbc36… |
| 48 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Valencia vBarcelona | 17% / 22% / 61% | our call landedwe called away 61% · away win | ae9197d810da… |
| 47 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Hamburger SV vFSV Mainz 05 | 33% / 29% / 38% | our call landedwe called away 38% · away win | 54433eb09358… |
| 46 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Estac Troyes vStrasbourg | 25% / 25% / 50% | our call landedwe called away 50% · away win | 9607616d1861… |
| 45 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Parma vMonza | 43% / 30% / 28% | our call did not landwe called home 43% · draw | d2ce95b37f51… |
| 44 | 2026-08-30 10:07 | Frosinone vVenezia | 45% / 27% / 27% | our call landedwe called home 45% · home win | 6f261d1214dc… |
| 43 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Everton vManchester United | 36% / 29% / 35% | our call did not landwe called home 36% · draw | f92f3223a5a4… |
| 42 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Le Havre vStade Brestois 29 | 33% / 28% / 39% | our call landedwe called away 39% · away win | 676883883f34… |
| 41 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | AS Roma vAtalanta | 40% / 27% / 33% | our call landedwe called home 40% · home win | 0699ab62c345… |
| 40 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | FC Schalke 04 vBayern München | 6% / 11% / 82% | our call did not landwe called away 82% · draw | b03c8be36f7a… |
| 39 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Inter vNapoli | 52% / 25% / 22% | our call landedwe called home 52% · home win | a8471a747579… |
| 38 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Lens vLorient | 61% / 22% / 16% | our call did not landwe called home 61% · away win | f24ff153ee57… |
| 37 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Athletic Club vAtletico Madrid | 34% / 29% / 38% | our call did not landwe called away 38% · home win | 1535899c85df… |
| 36 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Nottingham Forest vTottenham | 46% / 25% / 29% | our call did not landwe called home 46% · draw | 401c18d60046… |
| 35 | 2026-08-30 10:06 | Brentford vSunderland | 48% / 28% / 24% | our call did not landwe called home 48% · draw | 309180d9b108… |
← Earlier forecasts, including ones already played
The result column pairs the outcome we called (our most-likely of home / draw / away, with its probability) against what actually happened — a verdict, not a score: a 60% call missing is not a failure. Whether the probabilities are any good is a separate question, answered on the accuracy page. This page only shows that we have not changed our mind about them afterwards.